Tuesday August 31 2021

The remains of Ida are set to arrive Wednesday morning with rain. The heavy rain, likely flooding, and potential severe storms with tornados will arrive by evening and overnight. 

Before all of that, we have some showers and thunderstorms today to plot out.  After all of that, much cooler and more pleasant temperatures will settle in for the holiday weekend. 

Morning Surface Weather

The core remnant Low of ‘Ida’ is not longer tropical, but we will still refer to the name. It is located in northern Mississippi.  That core is forecast to move through central Maryland Wednesday night.

The cold front locally will be responsible for showers and storms today. 

August-31-weather-Tuesday-morning

 

 

Today: Radar Simulation Noon To Midnight

This product has consistently underperformed with short range storm coverage. I will have a mid day update that may show more storms.

nam-nest-md-refc_1000m-1630389600-1630425600-1630468800-40

 



 

Afternoon Temperatures 

This map may help explain the wide range of conditions in our region. All places near 80ºF or in the 70s are also expected to get the most rain from Ida.

Places in the mid 80s or higher are more likely to get severe storms from Ida.

August-31-weather-temperatures-Tuesday-afternoon

 

 

Weather Almanac: Climate Data

TODAY August 31

Normal Low in Baltimore:  63ºF

Record 49ºF in 1986

 

Normal High in Baltimore: 83ºF

Record 102º F 1953

 

 

Wednesday Weather With Ida

ECWMF Snapshot

The core Low will pass through central Maryland close to midnight. 

Rain will spread ahead in the morning, with increasing intensity and heavier bands or cells through the evening and overnight.

*Animation Below

August-31-weather-Ida-ECMWF

 

Severe Storm Risk

This is a level 2 out of 5 for cells with gusts over 60 mph and or tornados.

August-31-weather-forecast-severe-storm-risk

 

Flash Flood Watch

This as been adjusted to begin at 8 AM

The heaviest rain will arrive later in the day and overnight. 

August-31-weather-flash-flood-watch

 

ECMWF Storm Animation:

Here we see the rain from Ida arriving on Wednesday, well ahead of the center passing through Maryland Thursday morning. 

The heaviest rain is forecast to reach into central PA, but I have verification of recent storms to the south. I think we still need to watch that core rain field. 

ecmwf-deterministic-md-instant_ptype_3hr-1630368000-1630476000-1630594800-40

 

Rain Forecast

ECMWF

August-31-weather-forecast-rain-ECMWF

GFS

August-31-weather-forecast-rain-GFS

 



 

Wind Widget

 

 

7 Day Forecast

For Baltimore. It will be cooler west and north.

August-31-weather-forecast-7-day

 

 

INTERACTIVE WEATHER PAGES

14 Local Maryland Pages (and York PA)

We have made a page for Maryland Weather which gives you the current conditions for 14 present area locations.

Local Hourly Forecasts and Local Radar
Central Maryland

Baltimore

Annapolis

Bel Air

Carroll County/Westminster

Delmarva

Easton

Salisbury

Ocean City

Dover DE

Southern Maryland

Patuxent River 

Washington DC

 

Pennsylvania

York

 

 

Maryland Trek Gear

Maryland_trek_Gear

 

Maryland Trek 8 Says THANK YOU!

Running Total Raised $116,438

During 329 Miles From Wisp To Ocean City

To Honor Kids In Cancer Treatment and Support FREE Programs At Just In Power Kids

 

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National Weather Service Adds Maryland Cecil And Garrett Counties



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