Saturday February 20 2021

Just trying to get a breather after a few weeks of storms with some of the coldest air of the season.  Under full sunshine today, most of our region remains near or below freezing. So you might imagine how cold it may get tonight.   The good news is we remain quiet on Sunday, but watching a quick hit of snow on Monday, and the timing will be critical.  Then, the rest of next week brings in the warmest air we’ve had in a while.

 

Saturday Morning Surface Weather

 

February 20 weather Saturday morning

 

 

Temperatures 

Afternoon

Most of the region will remain near or below freezing.

February 20 weather temperature Saturday afternoon

 

Sunday Morning 

If BWI can drop into the teens, it will be the first time since January 30.

February 20 weather temperature Sunday morning

 

Sunday Afternoon

Still cold, but the cities and bay area should push the mid 30s.

February 20 weather temperature Sunday afternoon

 

Monday Snow

This will be a quick hit, and the timing is critical.  As of now, it appears to arrive mid morning, after sunrise. But we have had a tendency for storms to show up a few hours early. If this arrives before sunrise, then the impact on roads would be greater.

Coming off of a cold weekend, we will still be looking at a little stickage anyway.

GFS Model Animation 

Snow_Monday_GFS_Model

 

 

ECMWF Model —> slider

This shows the arrival by 10 AM, but I will watch to see if that can speed up as early as 7 AM in the western suburbs.

 

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What Kind Of Snow Are We Talking Here?

This looks like a 1 to 3 incher.  I will fine tune this and give my call for snowfall later.

 

February 20 weather snowfall ECMWF

 

 

Temperature Outlook 

Notice the Monday high reaches the upper 30s… with snow ending as rain  Then we aim for close to 60ºF by Wednesday.

Baltimore last hit the 60s FIVE TIMES IN DECEMBER!

 

February 20 weather temperature outlook

 

 

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