Sunday February 7 2021 at 9:45 AM

I know there were doubters, but the snow has taken over for most of our region.  The transition may have been an hour or two later in the city areas, but still able to overtake the warmer pavement.

Doppler Radar Snapshot

I wanted to compare the standard mode to the winter precip mode.

On the left, the yellow shade indicated snow rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour.  This has allowed the quick ‘thump’ of accumulation expected.

As of this post, Frederick has reported 3 to 4 inches of snow. The rest of the western suburbs have over 2 inches and still coming down.   Stickage taking over in city and I-95 areas, but right along the water might still be a battle.


February 7 weather snow radar 9 AM



Important Notes:

  • Heavy snow will wind down and begin to move out around noon.
  • When precip is lighter, it may turn back to rain. *The heavy precipitation has been dragging down colder air.
  • Afternoon clearing: Time to thaw and clear roads
  • Evening Refreeze: What is still wet around sunset will ice up



Still marginal temps, but most will thaw/melt as soon as the snow stops.

February 7 weather temps 9 AM


Atmospheric Memory

Low Pressure off of VA beach followed a path similar to our last storm this past week.


February 7 weather Mesoscal Analysis Sunday morning


Slow Mo Snow Video

I shared this on social media. But if you missed it, here is your Sunday Snow Zen



Winter Storm Alerts (updated Sunday morning)

February 7 Winter Storm Warning


SNOW Forecast:

The one mistake I made (for some) was lowering the snow forecast last night in my final pre storm report.  We can compare after this ends.

It’s funny though, some people suggested I would not post a Grade My Forecast before it changed over.  I hope they chime in at the end.


My Final Snow Forecast

February 7 snow total final Sunday




My First Snow Forecast

February 6 weather snowfall Sunday My Call


Top Snow Report (as of 9 AM)



How Much Longer?

Radar Simulation —-> slider

NAM 3 KM: Suggesting more mixing by the water. Also this may end with rain as the intensity decreases.  This should end between Noon to 2 PM for most areas.


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Thaw Then Cold Temps After Sunset

February 6 weather temperature Sunday PM 5


February 6 weather temperature Sunday PM 8


February 6 weather temperature Monday AM 7




Looking Ahead:

An active week brings:

  • Wednesday Night into Thursday a snow or mix
  • Sunday: Another snow event (that would be 3 weeks in a row)

February 7 weather snow outlook



Temperature Outlook:  Arctic Air For Valentines Day


February 7 weather temperature outlook




Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist

Twitter: @JustinWeather

Instagram: justinweather




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