Thursday February 4

This is the first day of the week with no snow or ice falling from the sky.  After a cold start, it should feel better with sunshine and seasonable temperatures.

The system arriving tonight is a small part of a larger storm.  It will bring a snow/rain mix before dawn Friday, but surface temps may remain too mild to be an issue.

That Sunday storm has on supporter to try and bring it back…

More confidence on the arctic air arriving next week through the middle of the month.

Morning Surface Weather

February 4 weather morning Surfsce weather snow




Grade My Forecast For Jan 31 to Feb 2 Snow

Poll Open Through 7 PM Tonight


Grader My Forecast: Jan 31 to Feb 2 2021

  • A (Thanks) (53%, 1,813 Votes)
  • B (33%, 1,139 Votes)
  • C (10%, 359 Votes)
  • D (3%, 91 Votes)
  • F (come on, really?) (1%, 23 Votes)

Total Voters: 3,425

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Snow February 2 Report Map Maryland Virginia January 30 snowfall my call



Morning Temperatures

February 4 weather temperature morning




February 4 weather temperatures Thursday afternoon

Friday Morning


February 4 weather temperatures Friday morning



Wintry Mix: But May Not Stick

February 4 weather Friday morning snow



Friday Afternoon

February 4 weather temperatures Friday afternoon

Central Maryland Weather Snapshot

February 4 weather forecast central Maryland




Saturday: Sunny and Mild


Sunday: Big Split now in guidance. 

I would not change plans yet… As the GFS is the outlier…


GFS Model: Trying To Bring Storm Back

February 4 weather Superbowl Sunday snow GFS



ECMWF Model: Keeps The Storm Offshore….

But it is closer than the prior run


February 4 weather Superbowl Sunday snow ECWMF


Did you see my report last night about the arctic air?  NOAA is in agreement, but it’s hard to think otherwise.

The core of the cold air will be delayed a few days without that coastal storm to pull it in Sunday.

If the GFS Model is on to something with the coastal, then it might be a day earlier…

This will last 1 to 2 weeks.


February 3 weather NOAA Cold February Outlook

Temperature Projection…

February 4 weather temperature outlook





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