January 7 Weather Clearing Today Storm South Tomorrow Still Uncertain Next Week

Thursday January 7 2021

Today is a new day and if you do not have clearing when you wake up, it should be developing soon.   The next storm  will bring clouds back by the end of the day, but that storm will be passing to our south brining snow to North Carolina, and maybe clipping Ocean City when it departs Saturday morning.

We should have a quiet weekend, but a healthy debate for a potential winter weather system next Tuesday.  I hesitate to call this a storm as every 12 hours the two main models flip reverse roles on a hit of snow and rain to little or nothing.   There is low confidence in guidance with the prospects still very possible.

Morning Surface Weather

 

 

Temperatures 

 

Afternoon Forecast

 

 

Friday Temperatures 

 

 

 

 

Forecast Snapshot: Central Maryland

The weekend will be quiet and seasonably cold.

 

 

 

Jumping Ahead To Next Tuesday

Before I show you these maps, I need to emphasize that the guidance has been poor.  Twice a day, each day since the weekend I have seen a flip from a big storm, to no storm, to maybe something but but not much.

I do not like to put all of my forecast on one model… That’s why I keep calling them ‘guidance’.  But they are the visuals I get to show you. I will highlight the flips in a report this afternoon.

We are now in the 5 day period and should start to get more consistency.

Here we now have the European Model brining a modest snow event, while the GFS Model is benign.

European ECWMF Model: The Storm Is On

 

 

American GFS Model: Snow or Rain Is Light

 

Temperature Outlook