December 30 2020

There is a large storm developing across the US today.  The primary Low is in Minnesota with new energy feeding more moisture in Texas.  Rain is falling across the heartland, but a swatch of snow dominates the Great Lakes.

We have cold air in place as some early flurries and light snow passed by predawn.  We will remain chilly but not cold enough for most of this storm. However, there is still an indication of some sleet and freezing rain mixing in at times over the next two days.

Morning Surface Weather

December 30 weather Wednesday morning

 

 

Wake Up TemperaturesDecember 30 weather temperatures Wednesday morning

 

Afternoon Temperatures 

December 30 weather Wednesday temperatures afternoon

 

Forecast Snapshot: Central Maryland

December 30 weather forecast Maryland Snapshot

 

 

Thursday Forecast

Chilly 30s may allow some sleet to mix in for the colder inland suburbs.

December 30 weather Thursday temperatures morning

 

December 30 weather Thursday temperatures afternoon

 

 

Forecast Animation 

Thursday: Rain, narrow band with chilly air.  Might start with sleet across MD/PA border.

Friday: Chilly rain. May start with sleet or freezing rain for inland suburbs and mountains.

December 30 weather storm New Year

 

 

Friday (New Year’s Day) Weather

Near or below freezing temps will start New Year’s Day.

December 30 weather Friday morning temperatures

 

Light Rain and Freezing Rain will try to build back in during the morning…

December 30 weather Friday morning ECMWF

 

The GFS is showing a sustained period of freezing rain into early afternoon.

Where? North of I-70 and west of I-83

December 30 weather Friday morning GFS

 

 

Jumping To Sunday

I’ve been tracking the next system trending north with a follow up Low Pressure.  The latest indication is stronger and farther north, AGAIN!  I am not sold on this display with now brings it so close, we end up with rain.

This is worth watching and highlighting the inconsistency of the mid range modeling.

December 30 weather rain snow Sunday

 

 

Temperature Outlook 

Speaking of inconsistencies, here is another flip. Next week is both looking less mild AND the arrival of the COLD AIR appears earlier on the 8th.

There is a larger global battle of arctic air at play. WE WILL GET COLDER in January. There is high confidence  in that. The debate is how soon. I will address this in my next report.

December 30 weather temperature outlook

 

 

Winter Outlook Series

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December 5 Snowfall History Start Of Faith in the Flakes

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