Thursday December 10 2020

For the past couple of days I have included a small glimpse at a possible winter storm next week.  I did this to shed some light that the computer modeling in long range has an error, which would result in each new forecast (to a certain point) shifting the storm track farther south and east.

Should a storm initially have snow inland and track over our region, it may end up verifying east with the snow possibly affecting our region.  That is what we see now, with the potential for accumulating snow and ice impacting our region next Wednesday. Tonight we have a Hanukkah gift to make up for the diminished northern lights opportunity.

Below you can see how 2 out of 3 computer models agree. (Cue the old Trident commercial)

But this is 6 Days away, and there will be more adjustments.  In fact, this is the 3rd event in line over the next week, with each one playing a role in the one that follows.

Busy Week Ahead

• Storm 1: Friday to Sunday this will track well north, and help to bring us temps in the 60s.
• Storm 2: Sunday to Monday will track well south and miss us.
• Storm 3 : Wednesday we ‘could’ see development off the coast after phasing with the northern Jet.

There are a lot of ‘IFs’ to get this to happen.

Storm Animation: GFS Model

Here is a look at the storms in motion. Note that this is just the GFS Model, and not all models have the same results.

Below we will take a closer look at the GFS timeframes, and compare to the European ECMWF and Canadian GEM Models.

Friday Evening To Wednesday Night

The Jet Stream Next Wednesday 

A vigorous and deep trough is what is expected to allow some ‘phasing’ for the 3rd storm as a strong coastal.

Closer Look at the GFS Model —> slider

• This is the most aggressive solution for this storm.
• See the development of steady, and even heavy snow (dark blue) that includes Baltimore, Washington, eventually Annapolis and northern Delmarva.

Compare this to the two other models below.

FITF Shop Open

My ‘bonus’ daughter Jaiden is showing off our popular unisex Maryland Hoodie. My wife joins her below to show of our new Ladies Hoodies.

Click here to see this and many other new items.