November 30 2020

It’s time!  The severe weather that blew through today was a signal of two things: A lot of energy in the atmosphere and colder air on the move in.  This cold air will open up the Lake Effect Snow Machine.  A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for Garrett County, but that is western Maryland with 3,000 Ft mountains. What about here?

December 1 is the start of Meteorological Winter, and it will feel like it. I see one a band of snow showers reaching central Maryland in the morning. There will be more energy that can send a few more showers or flurries into Wednesday.  Forecast maps below, and a glimpse into the COLDER that normal first half of the month.

Monday Evening Weather Map

Low Pressure is moving north. It should be noted that this tracked east of model forecasts. That may come in handy later.

The snow on the back side has pushed all the was south into Alabama. This will move east overnight, but the mountains will play a role in how far.

November 30 Monday evening weather snow



Midnight Snow Forecast

The steady and heavy snow should reach Garrett County Maryland.

December 1 snow Tuesday 12 AM


Winter Storm Warning

This snow zone will continue to get snow all day. That is where the bulk of the accumulation will pile up.

The Winter Storm Warning includes the highest mountains. The Winter Weather Advisory includes Frostburg for some minor accumulation.

December 1 Winter Storm Warning


Snow Timeline –> Slider

A morning band of showers should contain snow at daybreak. This will reach the western and north suburbs of Baltimore.

previous arrow
next arrow
previous arrownext arrow

Afternoon Temperatures 
December 1 cold temperatures Tuesday afternoon
More Snow Showers
December 1 snow Tuesday 4 PM
Snow Forecast Through Tuesday
December 1 snow forecast


Jet Stream Support Through Wednesday
I see multiple disturbances aloft that will help enhance snow showers and help lift them over the mountains. This is seen at the 500mb level (around 18,000Ft) with the Vorticity or spin. I’ve highlighted them with the X in the maps below.
—> slider
previous arrow
next arrow
previous arrownext arrow
My Thoughts
Computer models are good guidance, but they often miss on snow showers and flurries in a pattern like this.
The first flakes of the season are a big deal to many, and since last winter was such a bust, I wanted to share in the excitement for possible flakes over the next two days.
Pattern Change
Faith in the Flakes
I’ve talked about the entire pattern shifting to be colder than average for the eastern US.  There is a good signal to support that with the Arctic Oscillation.
The Polar Vortex has been trending weaker and the Arctic Oscillation is trending towards neutral. This is forecast to go negative for the first two weeks (at least) of December.
November 30 Arctic Oscillation
This contradicts the NOAA Outlook for the month and perhaps this winter.  If this holds true, it means that La Nina will not be dominating our weather as I wrote in My Winter Outlook.  The Arctic and North Atlantic Oscillation will help to supply us with colder air and even the energy in the jet stream to build storms in that cold pattern. Those are the ingredients we need for snow. This is the best it has looked for us in a few years.


Now Through December 1  ALL ITEMS are 20% OFF.

At Checkout use promo code:  SNOW20

Explore the site for Hoodies, hats, pants, kids stuff, and Snow Day Kits. This Faith in the Flakes thing began in with my son back in 2009 and you help keep it going. Thank you for your support and the over 300 schools who have invited me in for winter weather education programs.


FITF Hoodies SALE Dec 2020


I am a small business. Part of that is selling clothing that is produced and shipped by another small business in Carroll County: Maryland Print House.

We’ve joined forced and want to thank you for your support.


14 Local Maryland Pages (and York PA)

We have made a page for Maryland Weather which gives you the current conditions for 14 present area locations.

Local Hourly Forecasts and Local Radar
Central Maryland
Southern Maryland




National Weather Service Adds Maryland Cecil And Garrett Counties



Maryland Weather Page

Maryland Weather 

I wanted to keep it simple. Just the basics for a quick view at any time.

Maryland Weather Just In Weather


New Caps and Hats 

FITF Hats 2020


FITF Hat Winter Caps 2020



Also See:

My Final Winter Outlook: Snow Forecast

My Winter 2021 Outlook




My ‘bonus’ daughter Jaiden is showing off our popular Maryland Hoodie. Click here to see this and many other new items.

FITF MD Hoodie Jaiden




New Colors

We are giving 10% of each sale to Just In Power Kids: Providing FREE holistic care for pediatric oncology patients.



Winter Outlook Series

Winter Outlook 2021 Tropical Hints

Winter Outlook Polar Vortex Arctic Oscillation

Winter Outlook Solar Minimum

Early Winter October

Winter Outlook Series Weather Folklore


Winter Outlook 2021 La Nina Advisory

Winter Outlooks Farmers Almanacs



Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media



Email Updates

Please make sure you sign up (above or click here to sign up for email alerts…. ) for my newsletter. This way you will get an email to make sure you are notified of each post.


Just In Power Kids:

A portion of proceeds go to our programs Providing FREE holistic care for kids in cancer treatment and up to 5 years post treatment and caregivers.