Hurricane Delta Back Over Water Storm Surge Watch Issued Along Gulf Coast

Wednesday Afternoon October 7 2020

Hurricane Delta lost a little more speed as it interacted with Mexico’s Yucatan. This storm moved on target between Cozumel and Cancun, and area still dealing with a few other hits this year. They also had to deal with Gamma a few days ago, plus Laura and Marco.

Now that this is over the open water again, it will regain strength. Winds are now 100 mph, but the satellite loop below shows it quickly reorganizing. I expect rapid intensification again as it moves toward the US for a second landfall on Friday in Louisiana.

Storm Surge and Hurricane Watches are in place. The track still brings rain our way later in the weekend.

Below you will find the latest images, info, storm recourse center, and forecast for rain into our region.

Hurricane Delta Afternoon Close Plot

Hurricane Delta Wednesday Afternoon Update

National Hurricane Center Update

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.8N 88.8W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM W OF CABO CATOCHE MEXICO
ABOUT 65 MI...110 KM ENE OF PROGRESO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES

Satellite Loop

The highest cloud tops are in white and pink. Still a very ragged center with no eye present, but the center is defiantly reorganizing. Look out for rapid intensification again.

Computer Model Forecast Plots

The consensus is along the middle of the Louisiana coast, this is to the west of New Orleans, but may still carry the max impact with the stronger side to the east.

National Hurricane Center Forecast And Advisories

Warnings and Watches

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* High Island, Texas, to the Alabama/Florida border including
Calcasieu Lake, Vermilion Bay, Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas,
Lake Borgne and Mobile Bay

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Tulum to Dzilam Mexico
* Cozumel

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* High Island Texas to Grand Isle Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Dzilam to Progreso Mexico

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* San Luis Pass to west of High Island Texas
* East of Grand Isle Louisiana to Bay St. Louis Mississippi,
including New Orleans
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

GFS Model Forecast Animation  
Updated from this morning's model run. 
Rain like to arrive on Sunday and may be heavier on Monday for the Mid Atlantic.
 This track would NOT bring surge or coastal flooding risk to our region. That will be absorbed by the Gulf Landfall.

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Wind and Pressure Levels

This is a forecast view. You can see the future cast using the button at the bottom of the map.

Waves

All GOES EAST Satellite ‘Floater’ views

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Also See:

Coastal Inundation Page

This is a link to the NOAA information along the water.

Hurricane Laura Coastal Innundation Page

Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days

Atmospheric Memory Of Hurricanes Over Thousands Of Years Shaped The Coast

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