Monday January 6 2020

There will be snow falling in our area Tuesday afternoon. Under normal circumstance this would not be a big deal. But in a winter with little snow so far, this is something worth the attention. But as expected after a sunny day with temps around 50ºF, the warm ground will play a role in what snow can lay and stay or where it melts.

Headlines:

• Snow Timing: 1 PM to 7 PM across the region
• Temperatures: Most metro areas stay above freezing, but after dark wet pavement can ice up
• Temperatures: Typical colder suburbs will get some stickage and some pavement icing after dark for what is still wet.
• Bay Areas: Rain will end as snow, but this is not your winter event.

First Call For Snowfall

Zones Explained and model timelines below.

My totals account for melting and what may stick on the grass.  I do not put much value in the computer model guidance snow totals for many reasons. So if you have seen higher amounts, consider the melting factor from warm ground AND the chance the model is over playing the event.

Blue: All snow zone. There will be a range from just a coating to up to 2 inches. There will be burst of snow, that are more likely in the mountains and parts of Frederick and Carroll Counties.  Farther east and north the snow will likely be lighter. Most of this total will be on the grass. Watch for road issues possible after 3 or 4 PM.

Pink: Wet Snow or Mix if rain and snow. This includes most metro areas. Best chance for a coating on the grass and car tops… More likely as the sun gets lower after 4 PM.  This region is also in the risk of some icing as temps drop below freezing at night. Any ice will depend on chemical treatment AND if the pavement is wet as temps drop overnight.

Yell0w: Mostly rain, but the system should mix or end with snow. The ground should remain wet.

Snow Timelines

NAM 3 Km Model–> slider

 

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

• Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist

• Twitter: @JustinWeather

• Instagram: justinweather

WEATHER WIFE COLLECTION

• Thanks to Shannon (weather wife) for hand picking items ‘she’ wants to wear
• The Yoga Pants have side leg pocket for your phone
• The Hoodie is extra soft and has the important ‘thumb holes’

FITF Store: Weather Wife

 

Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall Winter 2019-2020

 

 

Part 1: More Snow This Winter Supported By Stats

 

Part 2: Solar Minimum- Low Sunspots May Mean High Snow Totals This Winter

 

Part 3: Tropical Systems In East Asia and Atlantic Basin Hint At Winter Storm Tracks

   

 

Snowy Winters Following A Hot and Dry September

 

NOAA Winter Outlook Leaves Room For More Snow With Mild ‘Seasonal Average’ Temperatures

Other  Links:

See the maps for when we normally expect the first frost in this link.

Baltimore Weather At BWI May Not Be As Hot As Reported

Construction at the airport close to the weather station may be added artificial heat. Click here or the image for the details.

 

Atmospheric Memory Shaped The US East Coast

Atmospheric Memory Of Hurricanes Over Thousands Of Years Shaped The Coast

 

Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones

 

Maryland Trek Cycle Jerseys From Hill Killer

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Thank you to our Title Sponsor for Maryland Trek 6

Shining on with Smyth and their contribution, our team has raised over $95,000 for Just In Power Kids to provide free programs for kids in and post cancer treatment.

Just In Power Kids:

Proceeds go to our programs Providing FREE holistic care for kids in cancer treatment and up to 5 years post treatment and caregivers.

 

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