Saturday March 2 2019

The third winter weather event in as many days is on the way and the should be the strongest of the bunch. This will be a classic winter storm with a tight line between snow and slicing right through our area. This will be a heavy wet snow in the colder zone, and a chilly rain to the south. There could be 40 miles separating places that get over 4 inches of snow on the north end to nothing on the south end.

Scroll below to see the snow timelines and multiple computer model forecasts below.

I am in the middle of an important family weekend of events. I will try to get some time to post my call for snowfall tonight. If not, I will first thing in the morning. All I can do now is show you what information I see is important to share. Thank you for your understanding and trust in my forecasting.


Winter Weather Alerts

Winter Storm Warning:

  • 2 PM Sunday to 4 AM Monday
  • Issued for the northern counties of Maryland
  • Snow totals 4″ to 6″+

Winter Weather Advisory:

  • 2 PM Sunday to 4 AM Monday
  • Metro Areas: Southern Harford, Baltimore, eastern Howard and Montgomery
  • Snow totals 1″ to 3″
  • This is the biggest bust zone. If this trends south or colder, there will be a lot more. I this shifts north or warmer then possibly nothing.

Winter Storm Watch

Cecil, Kent, Southern PA and northern DE. Your NWS Office has not updated this yet. I expect that adjustment to a warning is likely shortly. See the NWS forecast zone map info below.



Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones



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Storm Animation

All models agree on the set up for this storm. The only question really is where the snow line will set up. At this point I must rely on the models that have been most accurate this winter. See the European and NAM 3 Km Model Simulation Timelines below.



European Model Simulation Timeline –> slider

The snow line wonders around Baltimore. If you can see the purple line… the freezing line will be inland. Some areas will get heavy wet snow with temps above 32ºF, cutting down on road stickage.

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NAM 3 Km Hourly Simulation

Afternoon Timeline —> slider

[metaslider id=74297]


Evening and Night Timeline —> slider

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How Much Snow?

Compare 4 Model Forecasts.

I will work to have my call for snowfall tonight or early tomorrow morning… 


European Model

Most Likely


NAM Model

Second Most Likely


Canadian GEM

The highest totals and overdone… But hope for the desperate snow lovers


GFS Model

Lowest Snow Totals


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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore


Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?


Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History