Saturday January 26 2019

The weather this weekend will be quiet for most of our region, but there will be a lot of extra noise on the Chesapeake Bay for the Polar Bear Plunge. Below is a look at the hourly temperatures for the event today. It’s a cold start, but will be a seasonable afternoon. The big story will be the Polar Vortex across the Northern US and the extreme the reaches us. It is becoming more obvious that it will arrive with some snow and icy roads. More on that below.

Temperature Timeline for MD Polar Bear Plunge

Bay Water Temps measured 38ºF this morning at nearby Thomas Pt Lighthouse

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Local Weather Stats For January 26, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High: 42ºF

Record High: 79ºF in 1950

Average Low: 24ºF

Record Low: 2ºF in 1961

*Record Snow: 7.6* in 2011

Sunrise: 7:18 AM

Sunset 5:19 PM

*Daylight = 1:53 longer than yesterday

*Bay Water Temperature = 38ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

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Morning Set Up

Temperatures

Baltimore at 7 AM

Temperature = 19ºF
Wind Gusts: Calm

Noon

A disturbance is most likely to just provide passing clouds. But there could be a few flurries, especially in the mountains

High Temperatures

Sunday:

Snow showers over the western mountains bring them a fresh coasting for Sunday morning. This disturbance will move east and fade over the mountains. However there could be some flurries west of the front ridge.

High Temperatures

Skipping Ahead:

The core of the coldest air will pass to our north Tuesday and Wednesday, and drag a cold front our way.

Tuesday Evening

Rain showers will chancer to a burst of snow for a few hours. This is the kind of set up that better supports a Flash Freeze than what we had last week. The reason is that there will be a damp ground and snow falling on top as the temps tank.

Snow Timeline (European Model) –> slider

Snow totals: It’s too early to confirm, but this pattern supports a dusting to 2 inches.

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