Saturday January 19 2019

There is a change with this storm and as I write think I realize it should have been anticipated. Do you remember me pointing out the northward shift with the last few events? That is what I believe we have now. In fact, you may have already realized it as well. If you have heard about the temps for the AFC Championship Game in Kansas City, they are not expected to be as cold as first thought. We still have Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories in place. But with temps not as cold this morning and a later arrival,  think most of us will end up with more rain, less snow and ice today.  Tomorrow, we are still on for the flash freeze.

 

Quick Storm Cast:

• Saturday Morning: Dry
• Saturday Afternoon: Some showers may mix with snow or sleet.
• Saturday Evening: Main event arrives 4 to 8 PM. Most of the area will be above freezing. Still need to watch norther zones for sleet or snow mixing in and temps bordering with freezing.
• Saturday Night: Heavy Rain!
• Sunday Morning: Freezing Line races in with Flash Freeze
• Sunday Noon: Freeze reaches the city and moves towards the Delmarva afternoon.

 

Local Weather Stats For January 19, 2019 in Baltimore

*Second day of Record Heat Wave for January*

Average High:  41ºF

Record High: 69ºF in 1951

Average  Low: 24ºF

Record Low:  -5ºF 

                         *Record Snow:  7.7 in 1961

Sunrise: 7:22 AM

Sunset 5:11 PM 

*Daylight = 1:36 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 38ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

 

 

 

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New Partner

Buchanan Kia of Westminster is a supporter of Just In Power Kids and Maryland Trek 6 in August 2019.

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Winter Storm Warning And Winter Weather Advisory

Reminder: I see a warmer event and many of these may be cancelled.

 

Temperatures At Noon

No freezing temps to be found in our local region

 

Storm Timelines (Compare Three Models)

 

Storm Animation: FV3-GFS

SnowStix

We are being featured on The Weather Channel this weekend, Jim Cantore has a personalized Thudersnow Whisperer. Check it out as he reports from Boston.

We have added a bunch of new color options

We are giving 10% of each sale to Just In Power Kids: Providing FREE holistic care for pediatric oncology patients.

 

Saturday HRRR Model —> slider

This shows a later start with first shower mid afternoon. This may mix with sleet.

Main rain arriving by 8 PM in metro areas

[metaslider id=71356]

 

Saturday NAM 3Km Model —> slider

I have added the freezing line here…

This model shows showers sooner. I don’t see it on radar now, but perhaps flurries try to develop mid day.

Main rain arriving by 6 PM in metro areas

Heavy rain overnight!!!

[metaslider id=71377]

 

 

Sunday NAM 3Km Model —> slider

This model moved most for there rain out in the morning. There may be two to three hours before the freezing line arrives

[metaslider id=71398]

 

Rainfall Potential

This will be a soaker!!! That is why even a few hours after the rain stops that everything can flash freeze.

 

Temperatures

Sunday Morning: Freeze Reaches West/North Zones

 

Sunday at Noon: Freeze Reaches The Cities

 

Sunday Afternoon: Freeze Reaches Southern Maryland And The Beaches

 

Midnight: Ouch!

 

Monday Morning: Just Stay Inside

 

Wind Chill: Nothing Else Needed To Be Said

 

Temperature Outlook

 

 

 

Snow Day Kit 

NEW: Individual Items Are Now Available A La Carte.

 

 

FITF and SnowStix Available NOW

 

Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore

 

Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?

 

Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History