Tuesday January 15 2019

Before we jump ahead to the next two storms, our recent snow is still effecting the region. The refreeze overnight led to a lot of ice and many school delays in central and southern Maryland this morning. This includes Howard and Anne Arundel Counties. Temperatures are down in the teens and lower 20s in many areas. We will warm above freezing today, but it will take a few hours to thaw again.

The next two storms are a bit more complicated and why I did not want to pounce earlier. If you missed my thoughts on them in yesterday’s report, I know it was buried with a lot of other data. If you did not see my post on Facebook last night, that proves they are not showing everything I write to you. Please sign up for my newsletter. Here I will spend more time showing how I think this will play out. Initial models with strong storms often have a bias and like the last storm verify farther north. It still will impact travel, but not be an all out snow storm.

Morning Temperatures

Please note that there has been a ice reported on roads across central and Southern Maryland where some of the heaviest snow fell. There are many schools delayed, but regular commuting may be slowed by accidents. Temps are cold and you may feel it more today with a developing breeze. This may help hint at how to dress.

Winter Weather Quick-Cast:

Storm 1

Today: Freezing morning, slow thaw this afternoon
Thursday: Light snow possibly in the evening
Thursday night: Turning to rain south to north
Friday morning: Storm ends as rain.

Storm 2

Saturday Evening/Night: Light snow or rain
Sunday Morning: Heavy rain, warmer
Sunday Afternoon: Changing to snow. May be heavy for a few hours
Sunday Night: Freezing and icing up, even across Delmarva

Local Weather Stats For January 15, 2019 in Baltimore

*Second day of Record Heat Wave for January*

Average High: 41ºF

Record High: 78ºF in 1932

Average Low: 24ºF

Record Low: -2ºF in 1964

*Record Snow: 3.4 in 1957

Sunrise: 7:24 AM

Sunset 5:07 PM

*Daylight = 1:26 longer than yesterday

*Bay Water Temperature = 38ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

Also see: Final Snow Report Fro Jan 13 And Seen From Space

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Buchanan Kia of Westminster is a supporter of Just In Power Kids and Maryland Trek 6 in August 2019.

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Afternoon Highs

*Note: Refreezing will take place around sunset. Most areas drop back to the 20s before Wednesday morning

Looking Ahead

Storm 1: Thursday Night/Friday

Thursday: Light snow possibly in the evening
Thursday night: Turning to rain south to north
Friday morning: Storm ends as rain.

Radar Simulation –> slider

[metaslider id=70932]

Storm Animation

Storm 2 Saturday/Sunday

Saturday Evening/Night: Light snow or rain
Sunday Morning: Heavy rain, warmer
Sunday Afternoon: Changing to snow. May be heavy for a few hours
Sunday Night: Freezing and icing up, even across Delmarva

This has a lot of agreement. Here is a look at the European Model Track

Storm Simulation —> slider

[metaslider id=70920]

Storm Animation

It is likely that we have travel impact Sunday afternoon and night. Then a hard freeze and ice into Monday morning after the storm.

Temperature Outlook

The warming spikes are reflective of storms that may stay inland. But we will have more cold air. The pattern and potential Polar Vortex dropping towards the Northern US is still on target for the end of January.