Wednesday November 28 2018

I woke up this morning expecting the wind to be the main story, but saw the radar lit up with snow. The upper level energy has allowed some snow showers to cross the mountains. I check the road cameras from Hagerstown to Mount Airy and Thurmont and they appear to be OK. But flakes will be flying in the form of flurries or snow showers this morning. The may reach Baltimore, but more likely on the west and north side.

The storm responsible for this is located in Maine. It has a tight pressure gradient that will make the winds stronger today than yesterday. The snow showers are not our big story, even if you have FITF. It will be strong winds.

Wind Advisory

  • The winds will be gusting over 40 mph today. This will impact much of our are with the following risks:
  • Restrictions on area bridges
  • Tree branches, decorations, garbage cans flying down the street.
  • Downed Trees: Our record rainfall and soggy ground may lead to some trees tipping over.

More details below.


Local Weather Stats For November 28 in Baltimore

Average High:  51ºF

Record High: 73ºF in 1990

Average  Low: 33ºF

Record Low:  15ºF in 1951

                         *Record Snow:  1.7″ in 1917

Sunrise: 7:04 AM

Sunset 4:44 PM 

*Daylight = 1:23 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 47ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

Record Rain Year Update:

The rain on Monday was 0.42″ at BWI. Considering the storm on the way this weekend and one month left in 2018, we may make a run for 70 inches.


Morning Snapshot





Peak Wind Gusts

The noodle shows areas over 40 mph, but I think we will get gusts to 50 mph in our area. That is enough to topple some trees.







Weekend Rain

It looks like showers arrive Friday, the steady rain will building Saturday afternoon and night.


The warm up will come after the rain this weekend… But we will get some dry hours to enjoy it outside.  Then we get our return to winter next week.


North Atlantic Oscillation

The rising index to near zero will be with our warming trend at the end of The Weeknd. The crashing negative index will be associated with our pattern change and return to winter. This will set us up for multiple storms with cold air. Not all will translate to snow, but we will have our best chances AFTER Dec 5.


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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore


Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?


Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History 


FITF and SnowStix Stores are now OPEN


Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

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