March 12 2018 4:20 PM

The coastal storm is taking form and looking at Doppler Radar it does appear to have some influence over our region. But, it is really light and a mix of flurries inland or rain around the southern Chesapeake Bay.  There is actually more snow to the south in St. Mary’s County and towards Richmond VA. But temps are above freezing. Let’s be real here: This is going to be a powerful event,  but not our storm. Again! Snow lovers who never lose Faith in the Flakes and even those that just want one last push of winter may be itching for some action. Well, let’s focus on some.  There will be a band of snow open the very back edge of this storm developing tonight. I do not thing it will amount to much more than coating the grass in some spots and possibly some slush on a few side roads up north.  Temperatures are just marginal and will get colder after this thing moves away.

Here is a look at the radar simulation through Tuesday morning from the HRRR model. Please take this as just a guide as the best potential for something falling from the sky. Also see the temperatures below. While the suggested snow totals are here as well, that is a worse case scenario.  FITF


Radar Simulation —> slider

See the regional animation at the bottom of the post. This shows where the harder hit areas in New England will be

[metaslider id=60119]


Snowfall Potential

How much can actually stick of this?  Consider some melting and the road temps are still warmer than freezing.



Evening snow and rain showers while temperatures stay above freezing



Midnight snow while temperatures just hit freezing far north/west



Morning temperatures show the normally colder areas with some possible icing if there is slush or snow nearby


Regional Animation From The HRRR Model



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Also See:

My Winter Outlook 2017-2018 for more snow

Maryland Winters

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

NOAA Winter Outlook: Not The Best But Not The Worst For Snow

Two Farmers Almanacs Winter 2018 Outlooks

Winter Weather Folkore: Suggestions from Animals and Crops

First Frost and Freeze Dates For Maryland (southern PA and northern VA)

My Preliminary Winter Outlook Notes

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: To Repeat Or Not Repeat

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends