Monday March 12 2018 6 AM

This is just NOT our storm. I wanted to get through the weekend with a break from the storm chat but with area roads painted with brine many people kept asking what was happening. While I still believed the storm was heading east of us, I was duped by the computer models Sunday bringing us something. As I wrote yesterday, I didn’t think we would get much due to the warmer the freezing temps and timing. The only option was for some snow in the evening.

The storm developing will skip off of the North Carolina coast and head northeast.  We still could get some snow this evening with the upper level energy, but if it happens it will be brief and light. I had told my clients that if anything, maybe throwing salt on the pavement after the event would be sufficient, and that was for the colder places, not the cities. So at least they didn’t

This will be a big storm and it will dump heavy snow on eastern New England. I am sure you will be able to watch plenty of network or Weather Channel coverage of it just like the last one. For us, the colder than average air extends a few most of this week. Then we warm up and should make a push for near 60ºF by the end of the weekend.

Stats For March 12

Average High:  52ºF

Record High: 86ºF in 1990

Average  Low: 32ºF

Record Low: 12ºF in 1900

Snow Record: 4.4″ in 1968

Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 10.5″

Sunrise: 7:22 AM

Sunset 7:10 PM

*Daylight = 2:34 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 41ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

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This Morning

This Afternoon

The temperatures will be fairly uniform across the region as southern areas will be chilly being closer to the storm. Southern Maryland and the lower Eastern Shore will get some rain as well.


Evening Snow? Barely

That snow band on the back side is still trying to show itself in the colder northwester areas. But this will have trouble making it into metro Baltimore. Even if you get flurries or light snow, it seems like a non event.  Should this steady band of snow work out in Frederick, Carroll, and York Counties it will only last a few hours and mostly stick on the grass. Any road stickage will be marginal and slushy.

Storm Animations

NAM 3 Km Model 

GFS Model



Temperature Outlook

Overall the rest of the week should be pretty quiet. Maybe a rain or snow shower , but nothing major on the way. This temperature outlook has leveled out a little but I still think we make a run for 60ºF by Sunday.


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Also See:

My Winter Outlook 2017-2018 for more snow

Maryland Winters

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

NOAA Winter Outlook: Not The Best But Not The Worst For Snow

Two Farmers Almanacs Winter 2018 Outlooks

Winter Weather Folkore: Suggestions from Animals and Crops

First Frost and Freeze Dates For Maryland (southern PA and northern VA)

My Preliminary Winter Outlook Notes

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: To Repeat Or Not Repeat

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends