February 26 2018

The fog from overnight is dispersing quickly thanks to a shift in the wind mixing up the air. While the warmer air didn’t make it this far north and was yesterday, we should see some sun as we dry out and warm up today. The next few days will be quiet and allow us to warm up a little. But the next storm starts to show itself late Wednesday and Thursday. Plan for a very wet end to the week, and then a very rare upper air pattern that will try to send in colder air and stronger storms for the middle of March.

Stats For February 26

Average High: 48ºF

Record High: 74ºF in 1932

Average Low: 29ºF

*Former Record Low: 13ºF in 1990

Snow Record: 3.0″ in 1993

Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 8.7″

Sunrise: 6:43 AM

Sunset 5:55 PM

*Daylight = 2:30 longer than yesterday

*Bay Water Temperature = 42ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

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How Warm This Afternoon?

Next Chance Of Rain

Wednesday Evening

The threat of showers will be along the front ridge and hills inland from the city and Bay.

Friday Storm

The pattern change will come with the storm at the end of the week. Showers will arrive Thursday with heavy rain on Friday morning. This will be followed by the flip in the jet stream.

Jet Stream

After warm temperatures mid week, we will see the pattern flip with the end of week storm. Then a pronounced trend to cooler air aloft into mid March as seen in blue. March 7 to 14 shows the building of possible record low heights in the trough over the east coast. The temperature outlook below does not accurately reflect this due to limitation in the modeling.

Temperature Outlook

I think think the modeling is having a hard time identifying how cold we will get with the pattern change. So the default is close to average.

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