Thursday February 15 2018

Warm air is already building in this morning and it will be the warmest we have felt in months. Some of the region is starting off with showers and fog, but we will get many dry hours and sun to boost the day ahead. Computer modeling has a hard time adjusting the such an anomaly as temperatures will be about 25 degrees above normal. So it is possible that while we show upper 60s to near 70ºF, many end up on the top end of that… except if you are near the chilly Chesapeake Bay. Note, this is not even close to the record high today.

Rain begins to arrive tonight and temperatures will tank tomorrow, so highs will be in the morning. Then we set up a unique situation where the arctic front drops south, then returns Saturday with just enough cold air in place to produce a wet snow. That means snow from colder clouds with high water content, but the warm ground and surface temperatures will inhibit stickage until overnight. That will eat into potential snow totals. See more below.

Stats For February 15

Trivia: The record high today was set in 1949 and will be safe from this afternoon’s warmth.

Normal High: 45ºF

Record High: 77ºF in 1949

Normal Low: 26ºF

*Former Record Low: +6ºF in 2015

Snow Record: 11.5″ in 1958

Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 6.5″

Sunrise: 6:58 AM

Sunset 5:43 PM

*Daylight = 2:21 longer than yesterday

*Bay Water Temperature = 37ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

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This Afternoon

Rain Returns The Evening From The North

Forecast Highlights

See the animation below…

Friday

Rain builds in the morning with the cold front
High temperatures in the morning: Mid 50s to near 60ºF
Faling temperatures by afternoon: Mid 30s to near 40ºF

Saturday

Snow, sleet develop mid to late afternoon. Best chance along and northwest of I-95 *NW suburbs of Washington and Baltimore
Rain by the Bay and Eastern Shore
Temperatures will remain above freezing for most of the event. Stickage may be limited
Falling temperatures towards Sunday morning will allow for some icy roads in the normally colder inland locations (northwest of the cities)
The storm will be gone by Sunday morning.

GFS Model

Canadian Model

L❄️VE Snow ❤️

Over $5,000 has already been raised. THANK YOU! This campaign is still going on…

My Fiancée Shannon is showing off her design for our L❄️VE Shirt. Proceeds help the start-up of our new wellness program for Pediatric Oncology Patients. The big announcement is just two weeks away. Click here or on the photo to see more…

Multiple Styles: Ladies Performance, Unisex, Kids, and two types of Hoodies

Jet Stream Animation

There is barely enough cold air for this weekend’s storm, then another warm up next week. However the pattern breaks down before the end of February

Temperature Outlook

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