Wednesday January 31 2018

This morning is the Super Blue Blood Moon and there will be some snow soon. We are just missing the astronomical event and it seems like we keep just missing snow events too. There is colder air spilling in and we have a lot of energy to work with over the next few weeks. The problem is lining up the energy so that it can produce something for snow lovers. Each storm shown on the models appears to fade and shift a few days for another chance. I have seen this many times, and while it may look like crying wolf, eventually something will play out. That something should be within the next week.

See more on the snow outlook below

Stats For January 31

Normal High: 42ºF

Record High: 69ºF in 1947; 1916; 1914

Normal Low: 25ºF

*Former Record Low: +4ºF in 1966; 1965

Snow Record: 3.7″ in 1985

Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 6.5″

Sunrise: 7:14 AM

Sunset 5:26 PM

*Daylight = 2:03 longer than yesterday

*Bay Water Temperature = 34ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

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Also see: Super Blue Blood Moon

Today:

Thursday Evening- Rain

After a temps reach near 50ºF, rain will arrive late Thursday ahead of the cold front

Friday Snow? Barely Again

This is not exactly a repeat of what we just had on Tuesday, but it will show cold air following a brief period of snow. That could make wet roads icy just before sunrise…

Friday Morning Low Temperatures

This is the issue that could make wet roads icy

Animation: Snow Chances Sunday Through Next Week:

The model trend has been for a shift of systems north. So I can not lock into these plots as arctic air will be battling and the snowlike set up will not be clear until a day or two prior. That will also determine how much can fall, but who gets all snow will likely need to use a shovel for clearing it.

GFS Model

Canadian Model

Temperature Outlook

There will be a lot of fluctuation up and down. While this does not appear to show an extended arctic outbreak, I see potential for colder air than shown here (a limitation of the model ensemble).

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