Friday January 26 2018

We have a very chilly morning, but the winds have eased up. A bit frosty to start and a near normal day ahead. The sunshine and lighter winds will help it feel better. Even warmer air is on the way Saturday for the bulk of Polar Bear Plunging at Sandy Point. Water temps are still in the mid 30s. Saturday is the pick of the weekend with rain on Sunday, but it won’t be a washout. More rain will fall on the lower Eastern Shore. Then we set our sights on colder air next week with two chances of snow. One will be early in the week, the other a larger storm on Groundhog Day- Friday. See more below.

Historical Note: On this date in 1950, the hottest January day in Baltimore history with a high temperature of 79ºF

Stats For January 26

Normal High: 42ºF

Record High: 79ºF in 1950*

Normal Low: 24ºF

*Former Record Low: +2ºF in 1961

Snow Record: 7.6″ in 2011

Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 6.5″

Sunrise: 7:18 AM

Sunset 5:20 PM

*Daylight = 1:54 longer than yesterday

*Bay Water Temperature = 34ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

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TOMORROW:

Sunday-Monday Rain

Rainfall Potential

This will not be a heavy event. Baltimore is -1.63″ for the month on rainfall, so we can every drop. The heaviest rain will be on the lower Eastern Shore as Low Pressure will form off of the coast and stall the front longer there.

Snow Next Week?

TUESDAY

A small disturbance will follow the weekend rain and bring a chance for snow to the area Monday night into Tuesday morning. The trend for systems like this is the verify a little farther north…. So I noted that here to indicate the potential for this to exported north of Baltimore into Southern PA.

FRIDAY- Groundhog Day STORM

This looks like a rain event changing to snow as Low Pressure develops and passes through during the day. I DO NOT like to show specifics this far away, but there has been a consistency with this for a few days. Please give it some time to evolve and then we can break down timing and totals…. Any little shift could adjust the entire event for more or fall apart.

Outlook

Temperature Trend

Please note:

This weekend will be mild
Monday and Friday will both has falling temperatures during the day
February: When the model shows near normal conditions, it does not have a clear signal how cold the air mass wil be. I see a colder trend into Mid February .

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