Thursday January 25

A few flurries reached us overnight, but as the winds ease we will aim for more sun today. Temperatures will be cold and trend warming this weekend with the next storm brining us rain. The pivotal event will be next week with a storm on Groundhog Day (Friday) that may start with rain and end as snow. This will mark the pattern change back to below average temperatures into mid February. Here’s the quick breakdown.

Historical notes today

  • The first day of the year we climatologically warm one degree.
  • The 3rd day of a heat wave in 1967 all reaching the 70s in Baltimore
  • The anniversary of the ‘surprise’ snowstorm in 2000 that brought 14 to 18 inches of snow across Baltimore. We only had 3 winer events that year all within a 10 day period.

Stats For January 25

Normal High:  42ºF

Record High:  75ºF in 1967

Normal Low: 24ºF

*Former Record Low: 0ºF in 1897

Snow Record: 14.9″ in 2000

Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 6.5″

Sunrise: 7:19 AM

Sunset 5:17 PM

*Daylight = 1:50 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 34ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House


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Sunday Rain

This is not s heavy event, but will be a wet day…

Rain Totals


Monday Evening Flurries/Snow Showers

There will be a disturbance that follows with flurries or snow showers. This does not look like a travel issue.



Groundhog Day Storm And Week That Follows

Regardless of what Phil days, early February looks more like winter. This event should start as rain and turn to snow next Friday. I would not put too much weight in specifics of systems that follow, just the trend there there are some other events that will try to swing our way with the cold air in place. It is WAY TOO EARLY to lock in on intensity air track of storms that have not formed yet. The pattern is trending in the snow favor though.


Jet Stream

The jet stream will be shifting back to the colder pattern for the first week (or longer) in to February)



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Also See:

My Winter Outlook 2017-2018 for more snow

Maryland Winters

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

NOAA Winter Outlook: Not The Best But Not The Worst For Snow

Two Farmers Almanacs Winter 2018 Outlooks

Winter Weather Folkore: Suggestions from Animals and Crops

First Frost and Freeze Dates For Maryland (southern PA and northern VA)

My Preliminary Winter Outlook Notes

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: To Repeat Or Not Repeat

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends