January 11 2018

Baltimore hit a hit temperature of 61ºF today and 59ºF the day prior. If you think this is crazy compared to two weeks in a row below freezing, its is more common than you might imagine. The  Wind Advisory issued for Friday morning from 5 AM to noon for the Delmarva is part of a strong storm that could bring wind gusts to 45 mph. If you can recall the blizzard of 1996 that brought three days of record snow between January 7 and 9, it was followed a week later by flooding rain. This time, we are actually short on snow and in a moderate drought.

Rain will arrive Friday morning and be heavy at times with strong winds. We will have much of the afternoon dry before the next round of rain in the evening and at night. We all will have the return to winter on the other side of this storm, and some north/west of Baltimore and parts of the metro area may wake up with a wintry mix Saturday morning.

Stats For January 10

Normal High:  41ºF

Record High:  73ºF in 1975

Normal Low: 24ºF

*Former Record Low: 1ºF in 1982 

Snow Record: 3.8″ in 1954

Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 5.2″

Sunrise: 7:26 AM

Sunset 5:04 PM

*Daylight = 1:14 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 33ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House. 

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Wind Advisory

The Wind Advisory is for Delmarva but I expect winds may reach those levels west of the Bay as well as the wind forecast maps show. The storm that is moving in will bring us moderate to heavy rain and pump in warmer air that we got today. But, the return side could crash fast and possibly bring in a wintry mix at the end. The abrupt change over a few hours may shock you.  The rest of the weekend will remind you that this is still January.

Friday Winds:





High Temperatures


Saturday Morning: Abrupt Change

You may notice below that the high temperature on Saturday will be in the 60s. That could be just after midnight and then the colder air may bring a wintry mix in by daybreak if the track remains shifting east.

Storm Timeline

There will be moderate rain in the morning, but much of the afternoon should be rain free, before the next round arrives late evening and overnight.  The wintry mix potential will be Saturday morning.


Next Week Snow?

The chatter of snow next week comes from a clipper. In actuality it is a western storm that will fade to our west but redevelop off of the coast. The location is not optimal for us, but light snow is possible




Temperature Outlook


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Also See:

My Winter Outlook 2017-2018 for more snow

Maryland Winters

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

NOAA Winter Outlook: Not The Best But Not The Worst For Snow

Two Farmers Almanacs Winter 2018 Outlooks

Winter Weather Folkore: Suggestions from Animals and Crops

First Frost and Freeze Dates For Maryland (southern PA and northern VA)

My Preliminary Winter Outlook Notes

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: To Repeat Or Not Repeat

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends