January 6 2018

The extensive arctic outbreak is still with us and perhaps you read the title to see the work ‘thaw’. Yes, we will have a warm up next week, but it is not here yet. The Wind Chill Advisory persists today through Sunday morning. Most areas will remain with near or below zero wind chills as today will be the coldest of the stretch. A weak system ahead of the ‘thaw’ will bring in some icy mix later on Monday, then we get a brief warm up. Here is the latest:

You may want to notes these stat highlights:

  • Coldest Time Of The Year: Average Highs are 41ºF Jan 6 to 24 *But the worst of the cold is about to move out
  • Frozen Bay: Water Temperature at Thomas Pt Lighthouse  is 32ºF
  • Sunset: Today is the last sunset before 5 PM

Stats For January 6

Normal High:  41ºF

Record High:  72ºF in 1950

Normal Low: 25ºF

Record Low: 5ºF in 1904

Snow Record: 3.4″ in 1989

Sunrise: 7:26 AM

Sunset 4:59 PM

*Daylight = 57 seconds longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 32ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 5.2″


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If you missed it…

See the Snow Report for January 4. Compare and Grade My Forecast


Faith in DE Flakes

I survived the Blizzard of 2018- Special Edition shirt for Delaware. Sussex County was the big snow winner. See the snow measurements below. 


This Morning:


Wind Chills



Actual Lows Sunday

May The Flakes Be With You- Limited Edition Shirt

A Portion of the proceeds will go to Integrated Wellness programs for Pediatric Oncology Patients


Looking Ahead

Monday Ice?

There is not a lot of moisture with this next system, but models have finally caught on to the fact that this arctic air mass will last longer.  Plus, the ground is frozen solid. So anything that falls from warmer clouds is likely to freeze on contact and cause problems… Timing mainly later on Monday and overnight into Tuesday morning.

The Thaw:






Looking Farther Ahead:

I DO NOT like showing surface storm maps more than 1 week away, but this is an exercise in comparison. I see this like to change and tracking that change will help affirm any model bias for long term outlooks…

Temperature Outlook








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Keep In Touch All Winter

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Also See:

My Winter Outlook 2017-2018 for more snow

Maryland Winters

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

NOAA Winter Outlook: Not The Best But Not The Worst For Snow

Two Farmers Almanacs Winter 2018 Outlooks

Winter Weather Folkore: Suggestions from Animals and Crops

First Frost and Freeze Dates For Maryland (southern PA and northern VA)

My Preliminary Winter Outlook Notes

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: To Repeat Or Not Repeat

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends