January 6 2018

The extensive arctic outbreak is still with us and perhaps you read the title to see the work ‘thaw’. Yes, we will have a warm up next week, but it is not here yet. The Wind Chill Advisory persists today through Sunday morning. Most areas will remain with near or below zero wind chills as today will be the coldest of the stretch. A weak system ahead of the ‘thaw’ will bring in some icy mix later on Monday, then we get a brief warm up. Here is the latest:

You may want to notes these stat highlights:

Coldest Time Of The Year: Average Highs are 41ºF Jan 6 to 24 *But the worst of the cold is about to move out
Frozen Bay: Water Temperature at Thomas Pt Lighthouse is 32ºF
Sunset: Today is the last sunset before 5 PM

Stats For January 6

Normal High: 41ºF

Record High: 72ºF in 1950

Normal Low: 25ºF

Record Low: 5ºF in 1904

Snow Record: 3.4″ in 1989

Sunrise: 7:26 AM

Sunset 4:59 PM

*Daylight = 57 seconds longer than yesterday

*Bay Water Temperature = 32ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 5.2″

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See the Snow Report for January 4. Compare and Grade My Forecast

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This Morning:

Wind Chills

Actual Lows Sunday

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Looking Ahead

Monday Ice?

There is not a lot of moisture with this next system, but models have finally caught on to the fact that this arctic air mass will last longer. Plus, the ground is frozen solid. So anything that falls from warmer clouds is likely to freeze on contact and cause problems… Timing mainly later on Monday and overnight into Tuesday morning.

The Thaw:

Looking Farther Ahead:

I DO NOT like showing surface storm maps more than 1 week away, but this is an exercise in comparison. I see this like to change and tracking that change will help affirm any model bias for long term outlooks…

Temperature Outlook

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