Tuesday December 5 2017

Temperatures are mild this morning and it will warm to the 60s today, but that comes with the price tag of rain. Some early fog as we starting in the 40s. Drizzle will develop during the morning but the rain will be moving in this afternoon and most of us will be under wet weather for the ride home. This is part of the arctic front, and it will swing through tonight. You might be lucky to have a sleet pellet mixed in this evening, but no stickage with the warm ground. Then we turn colder! Tomorrow afternoon will be close to 20 degrees colder, and that is just the beginning of the pattern change.


I am not expecting snow, but hope you wear your Faith in the Flakes gear as we celebrate the date for the first day of snow in Baltimore almost every year last decade. This is a month that brings an average of 3 inches of snow and we have some to talk about before the week is done. See more about December 5 Snow history here

Stats For December 5

Normal High:  49ºF

Record High:  75ºF in 2001

Normal Low: 31ºF

Record Low: 16ºF in 1966; 1926; 1886

Snow Record: 7.4″ in 2003

Sunrise: 7:11 AM

Sunset 4:44 PM


Simulated Radar

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High Temperatures Today

High Temperatures Wednesday


Front Stalls Along The Coast

This will be the first test of my Atmospheric Memory Theory this season. My winter outlook pointed to the tropical pattern shifting storms east and too far off of the coast. That is why I held back on this storm that models now agree will be well off of the coast. At this time it looks close enough to keep the risk of light snow or wintry mix on the Eastern Shore. Marginal temps may not allow for stickage… but the timing of the day could help with some snow laying and staying on the grass before sunrise.


This system pulls away and an upper level disturbance could bring snow showers Sunday. There will be more energy next week. I think this may be more organized than showing now and we could have a better chance for light snow.



Sunday Snow Showers

All based on the voracity or spin aloft around 18,000 Ft… This is the sort max swinging through Sunday afternoon. It’s a good spot to help produce flurries or snow showers without and organized surface feature.


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Temperature Outlook Below

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Snowstix- New Colors in 30″ and 36″

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Faith in the Flakes Online Store

PJ bottoms still inside out- They have to be to help bring on the snow.


Temperature Outlooks


The European Model looks even colder


Get the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.

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Also See:

My Winter Outlook 2017-2018 for more snow

Maryland Winters

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

NOAA Winter Outlook: Not The Best But Not The Worst For Snow

Two Farmers Almanacs Winter 2018 Outlooks

Winter Weather Folkore: Suggestions from Animals and Crops

First Frost and Freeze Dates For Maryland (southern PA and northern VA)

My Preliminary Winter Outlook Notes

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: To Repeat Or Not Repeat

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends