Wednesday November 15

This morning starts off again with patchy frost, fog, and plenty of freezing temperatures. This is not the same fall as last year as we have a very active pattern and building cold air ready to surge in over the next week.  There will be a round of rain tonight, followed by a windy day tomorrow and snow showers in the mountains. A larger storm on Saturday will be followed by stronger and colder winds on Sunday as flurries could make it in parts of the area. The next storm will be around Thanksgiving and the cold will hold.

First, let’s look at today…

Stats For November 15

Normal High:  57ºF

Record High:  77ºF in 1989

Normal Low: 37ºF

Record Low: 18ºF in 1986

Sunrise: 6:49 AM

Sunset 4:53 PM

Keep In Touch All Winter: Sign up for email updates on new posts

Since you may miss some posts via social media, click here for email alerts as a way to make sure you don’t miss any.  *You may have to refresh that page once for your browser to clear out the images.

 Afternoon High Temps

High Temperatures November 15

Rain Tonight: Simulated Radar

—-> slider

[metaslider id=54663]

Windy Thursday:

Gusts over 30 mph and snow showers in the mountains. This shows the wind flow aloft at 850 mb.

Windy Thursday November 16


Weekend: Next Storm

We will have rain develop on Saturday. Colder air on Sunday will bring snow showers and flurries close. It will be tough travel into Western Maryland and near Pittsburgh in PA Sunday.

—-> slider

[metaslider id=54683]


Outlook: Thanksgiving

I don’t think the models have a good handle on that storm. So I am waiting another day to show the surface views. I would plan for rain (or snow) Wednesday and Thursday.  But the jet stream aloft will definitely tap into the arctic flow and bring in cold air. This pattern promises an early winter feel to the air.

Thanksgiving Jet Stream November 23

Trend For Cold To Hold


Temperature Outlook

The tendency for this model outlook is to run a little warm. So I believe we could actually spend Thanksgiving in the 30s.

Temperature Outlook Thanksgiving

In case you missed it…

Low Snow History Supports

NOT Repeating Last Winter




Snowstix- Ready For Delivery

We are giving 10% of each sale to programs that benefit pediatric oncology patients.

Faith in the Flakes Online Store Is Back Open By Popular Demand

PJ bottoms still inside out- They have to be to help bring on the snow.

Get the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media


Winter Stuff

NOAA Winter Outlook: Not The Best But Not The Worst For Snow

Two Farmers Almanacs Winter 2018 Outlooks

My Preliminary Winter Outlook Notes

Maryland Winters

First Frost and Freeze Dates For Maryland (southern PA and northern VA)

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends

Early Christmas Shopping? FITF Gear Is Here

Limited Edition 11:11 FITF Clock

Make That Wish For Snow