August 26 More Heat Brings More Storms Into The Weekend

Thursday August 26 2021

At first glance, thu may look like the same old tired hot weather pattern. But a disturbance will shift our way, brining increased chance of storms over the next few days, taking us into the weekend.

Deep in the Caribbean a like chance for the next tropical system, that could track into the Gulf of Mexico. That storm is what may help break down our patten by the middle of next week.

Morning Surface Weather

High Pressure continues to dominate, but starting to see the trigger for more storms shifting our way.

Advisories

Air Quality Alert in Central Maryland.
Heat Advisory around metro Philadelphia

Afternoon Storms

Isolated showers will try to develop. The suggestion is that this may be right over metro Baltimore. But like yesterday, most of the region will remain dry.

Weather Almanac: Climate Data

TODAY August 26

Normal Low in Baltimore: 64ºF

Record 52ºF in 1977

Normal High in Baltimore: 84ºF

Record 101º F 1948

Temperatures

This Afternoon

Heat Index

Friday Morning

Friday Afternoon

Storm Forecast

Tropical Outlook

There is a 90% chance that this region will develop a tropical storm in the next days. The next name on the list is Ida.

Forecast Models bring this into the central Gulf of Mexico. I do not like showing the plots before we have a central area of Low Pressure, since that formation region will actually help determine a more likely path.

Jet Stream Animation

The heat ridge will break down next week.

The dark blue circle is the upper level reflection of the tropical system. Here we see the GFS model brining it into the central Gulf Coast, then spreading rain and cooler temps our way for the middle of next week.

7 Day Forecast