July 5 Weather Hot Again And Tropical Storm Elsa Track To Florida And Mid Atlantic

Monday July 5 2021

After one of the nicest weather days I’ve seen for Independence Day, we are about to heat up again.

Well to our south, Tropical Storm Elsa will be crossing Cuba today, then track to the west coast of Florida. A State of Emergency has already been issued there… Then the track inland takes it south of Ocean City and off the coast by Friday morning.

More on that storm below.

Morning Surface Weather

High Pressure is in control and we will be heating up this week.

A fading trough may ignite an isolated shower, but less than 20% chance today.

The moisture in Florida is NOT Elsa, but will help feed into that storm tomorrow.

Weather Almanac: Climate Data

TODAY July 5

Normal Low in Baltimore: 66ºF

Record 54ºF in 2014

Normal High in Baltimore: 86ºF

Record 102 F 1999

Afternoon Temperature Forecast

Metro areas will get back up to near 90ºF. Mid 80s on Delmarva, and near 80ºF in the mountains.

Radar Snapshot Today

Less than 20% chance for a shower after 3 PM.

Radar Snapshot Tuesday

A line of storms will drop south out of PA Tuesday night. Most local areas will look for storms after sunset.

Tropical Storm Elsa

Large NHC Forecast Map

Florida Impact

This will pass on the WEST COAST/GULF COAST of Florida. All of the state will be under the influence, but the high water problems will be mainly on the Gulf.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* The Cuban provinces of Cienfuegos and Matanzas.

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* The Cuban province of Camaguey

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus,
Villa Clara, Mayabeque, and Havana
* The Florida Keys from Craig Key westward to the Dry Tortugas
* West coast of Florida from Flamingo to Englewood

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West coast of Florida from Bonita Beach to the Suwannee River

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cayman Brac and Little Cayman
* The Cuban province of Artemisa
* The Florida Keys from east of Craig Key to Ocean Reef
* Florida Bay
* West coast of Florida from Englewood northward to the Aucilla
River

Storm Surge Forecast

Mid Atlantic Pass

The track does come close to a direct pass between The Outer Banks (OBX) and Virginia Beach.

Forecast Animation

While showers and storms will be more widespread Wednesday through Friday, it is possible the the core of Tropical Storm Elsa locally mainly impacts lower Delmarva. Ocean City will see the bulk of this late Thursday to Friday morning.

7 Day Forecast

Sunshine State Of Mind

I am done with the cold and snow (for the season). I am embracing my wife’s mantra of Sunshine State of Mind.

This was designed by Shannon Berk and we will be wearing it through spring and to the beach.

Double Benefit: Proceeds will be split between our nonprofit Just In Power Kids and the development of my new weather website. That has been scheduled to be ready to launch in May.