April 8 2021

Researchers at Colorado State University have come out with their forecast for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and it should be busy again.

Dr. William Gray pioneered long range forecasting and impacts of teleconnections from other parts of the world on tropical development. Since his death in 2016, Dr. Phil Klotzbach and his research team continue this work with remarkable accuracy. It is a primary factor with the NOAA and The National Hurricane Center.

Below you can find the CSU Forecast, 2021 Storm Names, and Second List Names.  Also a brief recap of 2020 season local highlights.


2021 Hurricane Season Busy Forecast



Hurricane Season Forecast


2021 Prediction

Last Year

Average Year

Named Storms








Major Hurricanes





Dr. Klotzbach suggests the ocean waters will be warmer than normal and La Nina ( in the Pacific) may persist into the heart of hurricane season. In years with La Nina, the wind shear (in the Atlantic ) is typically lighter. When wind shear is lighter, there is generally an increase in hurricane activity.  

In contrast, El Nino years, the higher Pacific storm activity increases upper level winds and sheers off the tops of Atlantic storms, limiting development. 




  • 1992: Only 7 storms were named, but one of them was the devastating Category 5 Andrew that crushed south Florida. 
  • 1983: Only 4 storms were named, but one of them was Category 4 Alicia pummeled south Texas,
  • 2010: There were 19 named storms with 12 becoming hurricanes. None reached the US shores.


Storm Names

Last year, 2020 brought us a record 30 named storms and a big change to the naming system. The Greek Alphabet was used (as was in 2005), when the name list was completed. The World Meteorological Organization decided it caused added confusion, so a secondary list is waiting indefinitely. If that is not used this year, it will be waiting for when it may be needed.

2021 Storm Names

The letters Q, U, X, Y, and Z are not used. That leaves us with a list of 21 names, before any addition list is needed. 

  1. Ana
  2. Bill
  3. Claudette
  4. Danny
  5. Elsa
  6. Fred
  7. Grace
  8. Henri
  9. Ida
  10. Julian
  11. Kate
  12. Larry
  13. Mindy
  14. Nicholas
  15. Odette
  16. Peter
  17. Rose
  18. Sam
  19. Teresa
  20. 20.Victor
  21. Wanda

Second List

If we get into this it would surpass expectations. If we use up this list, we have a problem. 

  1. Adria
  2. Braylen
  3. Caridad
  4. Deshawn
  5. Emery
  6. Foster
  7. Gemma
  8. Heath
  9. Isla
  10. Jacobus
  11. Kenzie
  12. Lucio
  13. Makayla
  14. Nolan
  15. Orlanda
  16. Pax
  17. Ronin
  18. Sophie
  19. Tayshaun
  20. Viviana
  21. Will


Related Posts

Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days

13_Tropical Storm Formation Sep11_20


2020 Named Tropical Storm and Hurricane Tracks

If viewing on a phone, turn sideways or pinch to zoom for larger view

Often patterns will develop, and some region can be visited by multiple storms.

Tropical Atlantic 2020



Sunshine Sate Of Mind

I am done with the cold and snow (for the season). I am embracing my wife’s mantra of Sunshine State of Mind.

This was designed by Shannon Berk and we will be wearing it through spring and to the beach.

Double Benefit: Proceeds will be split between our nonprofit Just In Power Kids and the development of my new weather website. That has been scheduled to be ready to launch in May.

Sunshine State Of Mind



Local Impacts From 2020

4 Storms ‘Hit’ With 3 Actually Passing Through Maryland.


Tropical Storm Fay:

This was a Close Coastal that moved along the coast quickly and brought flooding to the region. If we have a storm like this in winter, it could be a snow producer near and west of the Bay.

July 10 Tropical Storm Fay Analysis 11 AM


Two Named Storms physically crossed Maryland (St. Mary’s County), while one was downgraded and the remains reached:

Tropical Storm Isaias – This crossed St. Mary’s County to Easton then north into the Philadelphia suburbs.

Tropical Storm Isaias Path Through Maryland


Laura– This was downgraded before reaching us, but the remains crossed southern Maryland.

August 29 Laura mesoscale weather Saturday morning


Zeta – This was downgraded to a ‘Post’ Tropical Storm before reaching us, but remains crossed southern Maryland near where Isais passed in St. Mary’s County.  *This is key!

TS Zeta rossing Maryland


Gulf Storms: This Was The  Hot Zone!

Louisiana Landfalls (5) And Gulf Storms

Image from NOLA was generated on Oct. 27 a day before Zeta made landfall

Tropical Storm Hurricane Tracks Gulf 2020




14 Local Maryland Pages (and York PA)

We have made a page for Maryland Weather which gives you the current conditions for 14 present area locations.

Local Hourly Forecasts and Local Radar
Central Maryland



Bel Air

Carroll County/Westminster




Ocean City

Dover DE

Southern Maryland

Patuxent River 

Washington DC





National Weather Service Adds Maryland Cecil And Garrett Counties



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