Monday January 25 2021

A Winter Weather Advisory is in place for central inland locations starting at 4 PM. As mentioned in my previous reports, this will mostly be a freezing rain or icing event, but some snow and sleet may accumulated at the start. Of most importance has been the ground cooling enough, and then the timing for arrival and thawing Tuesday morning.

Winter Weather Advisory

January 25 winter weather advisory



Quick Notes:

While there may be some minor accumulation of sleet and snow, there will be more ice in the western Maryland Mountains. There a Winter Storm Warning is in place for icing that could be 0.25″ to 0.50″


Morning Set Up

The storm looks impressive on the map, but there is an expected split in the moisture expected to reach us.  We still get the icy mix, but the heaviest amounts will be to in the mountains and west.

January 25 weather Monday morning


Quick Cast: Central Maryland

January 25 weather forecast central Maryland



Skipping Ahead To The Start Time:

Janury 24 weather snow and sleet arrival Monday



My Updated Call For Snow/Ice


January 25 Snow Ice Updated NEW



Comparing Models This Evening

A weird thing might occur and be confusing. Temperatures will get above freezing today, and the arrival could be rain or sleet. This should cool as the precipitation arrives, then gradually warm and change back tonight.


GFS Model

January 25 weather start ice snow GFS



HRRR Model

January 25 weather start ice snow HRRR



Canadian GEM

January 25 weather start ice snow Canadian



European ECMWF


January 25 weather start ice snow ECMWF


Evening Temperatures 

January 25 Temperatures Tuesday 7 AM


NAM 3 Km Radar Simulation —> slider

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After Midnight Through Tuesday Morning

January 25 freezing rain ice Tuesday 2 AM


January 25 freezing rain ice Tuesday 6 AM





January 25 Temperatures Tuesday 7 AM



January 25 freezing rain ice Tuesday 9 AM



Temperature Outlook 

January 25 Temperature outlook



Also See:

What About The Thursday Storm?

I saw the latest models pushed the snow south. I am not worried about that. I expect this first storm may kick a little north, and the second one may follow, with a display on the models as this passes through.

We can address that next.

Faith in the Flakes – FITF



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