Sunday January 10 2021

We have another clear day in the Mid Atlantic to round out the weekend. So for a weather person, if we want any excitement we have two places to look: Snow today in Texas and the arctic air first showing up at the end of the week.

Morning Surface Weather

Clear and quiet weather dominates the eastern US.  Let’s take a look at our temperatures, then a quick view of the Texas snow event.

January 10 weather Sunday morning



Afternoon Forecast

January 10 weather temperatures Sunday afternoon


Monday Temperatures 

January 10 weather temperatures Monday morning



Afternoon Temperatures

January 10 weather temperatures Monday afternoon


Forecast Snapshot

January 10 weather forecast central Maryland





About that snow in Texas

Here’s a fun graphic from NWS Fort Worth. It’s fun for them as this is a rare event for that region.

January 10 winter storm watch texas


Doppler Radar Snapshot

This was the local Doppler Radar at 9 AM EST/8 AM CST.  Here we see the expanding cold air turning rain to snow across west Central Texas.

This is only a local radar view, so not showing the entire snow field. However, we can see rain about to change over to snow in Waco, TX. Maybe Chip and Joanna will have the cameras rolling at the Magnolia Silos?

January 10 weather snow radar 9 AM Texas


Forecast Snow:

A wide range of 2 to 6 inches is expected through tomorrow morning from central Texas through northern Louisiana and Mississippi.

January 10 weather snow forecast Texas


This Storm Shifts East Tomorrow….

and falls apart.

Instead of tightening, this wave opens up and stays to our south. But this should be no surprise if you have been reading my reports for a few days. This was the system that model guidance had as a snow event for us (on Tuesday) a week ago.

We will end of with clouds Monday, then clearing again Tuesday.

January 10 weather Monday


The moral of this story: DO NOT trust any model plots for a storm a week or more ahead of time.  The guidance has not been consistent in this environment.

Will we get snow?  YES!  I truly believe that. I also believe that we may end up with moderate events that models do not put together until a few days out. We have been in this situation before, and it will be hard to convince many until it happens.

What I do see as the best way to look ahead is focus on the pattern changes aloft.


Friday Cold Front

At the end of the work week, a cold front will arrive. This does not show a lot of moisture at this time, but that is not the point to focus on here.  This is the leading edge of the first push of arctic air.

January 10 weather Friday arctic front


Jet Stream:

Here is a look at the upper level Low in Canada sending this deep trough our way behind that cold front.

January 10 weather Friday jet stream



Temperature Sampling

The core of cold air often arrives a day or two after the initial push/cold front.  We will begin to see the influence of that arctic air during the weekend.

January 10 weather Friday temperatures



Temperature Outlook

If you have been keeping track, this product continues to adjust the depth of cold air. There are some conflicting projections of where the core of arctic air will go with the Polar Vortex disruption.  I will address those in a later report.

January 10 weather temperature outlook



Will this bring snow?

I do expect Lake Effect Snow to send us snow showers and flurries east of the mountains.  But for anything of substance, the first hint Monday (a week from tomorrow).  Only light snow on this extended plot.

Reminder: I do not have confidence in surface plots this far out. But I am showing you just for some reference point.

January 10 weather next Monday snow rain





Also see:




January Outlook Cold Stormy



Winter Outlook Series

Winter Outlook 2021 Tropical Hints

Winter Outlook Polar Vortex Arctic Oscillation

Winter Outlook Solar Minimum

Early Winter October

Winter Outlook Series Weather Folklore


Winter Outlook 2021 La Nina Advisory

Winter Outlooks Farmers Almanacs



14 Local Maryland Pages (and York PA)

We have made a page for Maryland Weather which gives you the current conditions for 14 present area locations.

Local Hourly Forecasts and Local Radar
Central Maryland



Bel Air

Carroll County/Westminster




Ocean City

Dover DE

Southern Maryland

Patuxent River 

Washington DC





National Weather Service Adds Maryland Cecil And Garrett Counties


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December 5 Snowfall History Start Of Faith in the Flakes

Also see:





Maryland Weather Page

Maryland Weather 

I wanted to keep it simple. Just the basics for a quick view at any time.

Maryland Weather Just In Weather




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