Wednesday December 23 2020

A package of weather advisories has been issued across the region. Most prolific is the Flash Flood Watch for heavy rain.  A Winter Storm Watch includes Garrett County MD and into the high mountains for heavy snow.  A High Wind Watch along the coast, and Small Craft Advisory for the Chesapeake Bay.

This does not change anything.  We are still expecting a mix to snow overnight, and very cold air Christmas Day with afternoon flurries and snow showers.  The timing of the arrival will be within a few hours of midnight.

Christmas Eve Weather Alerts

It’s important to note that there is still snowpack and snow piles for most areas west and north of I-95. That will add to flooding potential, and blocked storm drains.

December 23 Flash Flood Watch Christmas



How Much Rain?

The two main computer models have diverged on the timing of the front, but they agree (more or less) on the amount of rainfall.


GFS Model

December 23 Christmas rain GFS



December 23 Christmas rain ECMWF


Let’s Back Up To The Set Up This Morning

WE have chilly air in place this morning, but a warm up is on the way ahead of the Arctic Front.  That front can be seen on the map this morning.

December 23 weather Wednesday morning




December 23 weather temperatures USA Morning


Closer View

December 23 weather temperatures Wednesday 7 AM


Central Maryland Forecast Snapshot

December 23 Christmas weather forecast Maryland


Storm Animation

December 23 Christmas storm weather rain snow



  • Thursday: Rain develops during the morning. Heavy rain by mid afternoon and evening.
  • The models are pushing the front through central Maryland (metro Baltimore) between 2 AM and 6 AM Christmas Morning.
  • Rain will mix and briefly change to snow.
  • You might see snow at daybreak in some areas…
  • Flash Freeze inland but not in cities.
  • Friday Afternoon: Flurries and Snow Showers. *This may be the best chance for widespread viewing of falling snowflakes.


Snapshot: 4 AM Christmas Morning

December 23 Christmas eve rain snow GFS


Explore More: Click here for The Case For Christmas Day Snow Showers

December 22 weather Christmas snow vorticity Friday PM 7 Close



Early Morning

Will there be a Flash Freeze?  I will focus more on this in the next full report. Temperatures will be dropping with the end of precipitation, and early enough in the day. It will be more likely for the same inland locations that still have snow on the ground this morning, not in the cities or by the Bay.

December 23 Christmas temperatures Friday 4 AM



December 23 Christmas temperatures Friday 4 PM



Temperature Outlook 

December 23 temperature outlook Christmas New Year



FITF Shop Open

My ‘bonus’ daughter Jaiden and wife showing off our popular Maryland Hoodies. Unisex and women’s items all produced in Maryland.

Click here to see this and many other new items.

FITF MD Hoodie Jaiden


NEW Hoddies ShannonJaiden




December 5 Snowfall History Start Of Faith in the Flakes

Also see:


Winter Outlook Series

Winter Outlook 2021 Tropical Hints

Winter Outlook Polar Vortex Arctic Oscillation

Winter Outlook Solar Minimum

Early Winter October

Winter Outlook Series Weather Folklore


Winter Outlook 2021 La Nina Advisory

Winter Outlooks Farmers Almanacs



14 Local Maryland Pages (and York PA)

We have made a page for Maryland Weather which gives you the current conditions for 14 present area locations.

Local Hourly Forecasts and Local Radar
Central Maryland



Bel Air

Carroll County/Westminster




Ocean City

Dover DE

Southern Maryland

Patuxent River 

Washington DC





National Weather Service Adds Maryland Cecil And Garrett Counties




Maryland Weather Page

Maryland Weather 

I wanted to keep it simple. Just the basics for a quick view at any time.

Maryland Weather Just In Weather




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FITF Hats 2020


FITF Hat Winter Caps 2020