Sunday November 29 2020

Now we have some shape to the evolving pattern. Here is the Gulf Storm, the first of many (I expect this winter).  This one will have warm air, and bring in a marginal risk for severe storms to our region.  With the contrast of this energy and the cold air to follow, heavy rain will move through. This will mostly be in the morning, then a line with some thunder and severe risk in the afternoon.

A full moon will occur on Monday. I have shown this often coincides with overachieving storms. It will play a role with enhanced tides and some shoreline flooding on the Chesapeake Bay. See the wind highlights below.


Sunday Evening Weather

November 29 weather Sunday Evening Storm


Storm Highlights

Heavy Rain

Most of the region will be within reach of 1 inch of rain during Monday.

The hourly timeline is below.

November 30 weather rain forecast Maryland


Monday Storm Risk

There will be heavy rain in the morning, then some lines of possible thunderstorms in the afternoon. With temps pushing the 60s and abrupt wind shifts with height (sheer), there could be some low level rotation.

The cold air aloft could also bring low level small hail with the afternoon activity. The Marginal Risk is small, but still worth paying attention to.

November 30 weather severe storm risk Monday


Monday Wind Advisory

Wind Timing Slider Below

November 30 weather wind advisory Monday


Peak Wind Gusts

Much of the region could see close to 40 mph winds. The Advisory is where winds could exceed 50 mph

November 30 weather wind gust Monday


Wind Timeline —> slider

  • Morning: Wind from the East/Southeast.
  • Afternoon: Wind from the South.
  • By Evening: Winds from the West
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Forecast Animation shows Low Pressure passing just west of Maryland. That is why we remain on the warm side, then the cold air fills in after it passes. Heavy snow will fall on the mountains. Some flurries or snow showers not shown here are very possible on Tuesday in central Maryland and PA.
Storm Forecast Rain Snow Monday November 30
Rain Timeline —> slider
Heavy rain in the morning will be here by daybreak and last for a few hours.
The lines of storms in the afternoon are where the severe risk is possible.
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As heavy snow bands set up in the mountains, the first push of rain mixed with snow showers will pass through the northern half of the region.

More snow showers and flurries are possible into Tuesday afternoon.

November 30 weather snow Tuesday morning


How Much Snow?

November 30 snow forecast



Monday Morning

November 30 weather Temperatures Monday morning
Monday Afternoon
The rain will bring in a brief surge of warm air.
November 30 weather Temperatures Monday afterenoon
Tuesday Morning
This is when the cold air flows in along with unsettled air.
November 30 weather Temperatures Tuesday morning
Forecast Snapshot
This is for Carroll County, MD.
Flurries or Snow Showers possible on Tuesday.
November 30 forecast maryland rain snow
We still have another storm for next weekend to track. It may behave similar to this event, with a little colder air and track shifted farther east.


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