November 10 Weather Record High Temps Today Then Rain From Tropical Storm Eta

Tuesday November 10 2020

We continue with high temperatures in the upper 70s in metro areas and today should be the last one for a while. Yesterday BWI reached 77ºF, missing the record by one degree. This time the record of 75ºF. is well within reach, and I expect Baltimore’s station at BWI will get there.

Tropical Storm Eta is stationary this morning off the west coast of Cuba. It will make the turn north and feed a lot of moisture into the cold front heading our way.  The timing is a little slower, with rain more likely to reach us Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning. Some areas will be at risk for flooding.

Morning Surface Weather

There are areas of fog again this morning. It will burn off this morning, and you might notice a hint of humidity with the warm afternoon.

 

 

 

First: Tropical Storm Eta

• Winds: 50 mph
• Movement: ‘Stationary’

 

Tropical Satellite Loop

 

National Hurricane Center Forecast

This will linger off the coast all week long. It is not directly aiming for us. However, it will continue to send lots of moisture north our way.

 

 

 

Forecast Animation

This shows a lot of moisture thrown well north into our region on Wednesday as it links up with a cold front.  The timing is a little later in the day for the arrival. This also shows the center wondering in the Gulf of Mexico into next weekend, but feeding a second round of rain.

 

Wednesday Snapshot

 

Rainfall Forecast

The flooding potential will be in areas that get into the 2 to 3+ inch range of rainfall.

GFS Model

The GFS Model has split the rainfall for the first wave midweek. This is based on the push of the center of Eta farther west of Key West.

 

ECMWF

The European Model has increased the overall rainfall for this first wave, and shifted the heaviest rain a little east.

 

 

Temperature Forecast

Normal High = 59ºF

Baltimore at BWI record high: 75ºF in 1999

The recorded high has been warmer than the forecast. So I expect the same today.

 

 

Wednesday

 

Baltimore at BWI record high: 75ºF in 1999

 

 

Temperature Outlook