October 5 Weather This Week: Morning Rain Warming Trend And Tropical Cyclones

October 5 2020

A band of rain this morning marks the latest frontal boundary moving through our area. The ground may be wet, but the sky will be clearing for most of us during the morning. I have a live radar widget below.

This week will show us a warming trend that gets the 80s back to metro areas mid week. Then we cool back down and have to watch the tropics. The National Hurricane Center has Tropical Storm Delta forming today and tracking towards New Orleans by Friday. The may then turn our way with rain over the weekend.

Morning Set Up: Satellite

Live Radar Widget

Pinch and slide to change the view.

Outlook Forecast:

High Temperature—> slider

The warmest day should be Wednesday

Temperature Outlook: (Blend of Models)

October 5 weather Monday temperature outlook

Also See: Daily Climate Data, Observation Report, sun and moon times

Tropical Weather

There are two systems of note this morning.

Tropical Storm Gamma has winds of 50 mph, and just crossed the Yucatan Peninsula. Most of this rain is well to the north and feeding into the rain over Florida.
Potential Tropical Cyclone Twenty-Six is in the Caribbean Sea and is expected to be named Tropical Storm Delta later today. This is forecast to reach New Orleans as a Hurricane on Friday.

Early Forecast Concerns:

It is really early to lock this down since the storm has not been named yet. Plus we still have to first track landfall and intensity. But the preliminary outlook shows ‘Delta’ making landfall as a hurricane ‘near’ New Orleans, then curving into the Mid Atlantic next weekend:

Weekend Forecast Plots

The GFS Model (shown above) is the slower version tracking inland. But it is not the only option, as the European Model is more aggressive bringing in more rain and sooner. There is still uncertainty if and when rain will reach us.

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Temperature Outlook

Much Cooler Pattern Next Week, Warmer Up During October

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Severe Storm Report Photos And Video From Thursday

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Comet NEOWISE Viewing All July (photos/video)

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