October 5 2020

Here we got again! Delta was just named this morning, and has already jumped to hurricane intensity. I said it was worth watching with a favorable environment, but this was quicker than I expected. The National Hurricane Center update at 8 PM had winds at 75 mph, and now forecasting this to be a major hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico in a few days!

This is the 25th named storm of the season for the Atlantic. Of them, 8 have become hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes (Cat 3+).

Here are the latest resources from Monday evening available to track the storm. They include satellite, National Hurricane Center Forecast, and weather widgets.

 

Hurricane Delta Satellite

Hurricane Delta Satellite Monday October 5

 

National Hurricane Center Update

SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 79.6W
ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM SSW OF NEGRIL JAMAICA
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES

 

 

Longwave IR Satellite Loop

Here we can see the shell of TS Gamma in the center.

Hurricane Delta is at the bottom of this loop.

CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-regional-gulf-14-00_01Z-20201006_map_-28-1n-10-100

 

See All Floater Views From GOES East and more links below

 

Computer Model Forecast Plots

 

Tropical Storm Delta Forecast

 

National Hurricane Center Update

Hurricne Delta National Hurricane Center Forecast October 5

 

 

Warnings and Watches

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cuba province of Pinar del Rio
* Tulum to Rio Lagartos Mexico
* Cozumel

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Cuban province of Artemisa
* Isle of Youth

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cayman Islands including Little Cayman and Cayman Brac
* Isle of Youth

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cuba province of La Habana

 

Wind Forecast: Tropical Storm Arrival 

Hurricane Delta Wind Arriva Forecast October 5

 

 

GFS Forecast Animation

Why should we be concerned? Because the rain is likely to impact us over the weekend. The GFS Model pulls the core west, while the European might be closer. I will update on both each day this week. At this point, Sunday looks to be the day with more rain for our region.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_fh66-144-2

 

Weather Widgets You Control

Wind and Pressure Levels

This is a forecast view. You can see the future cast using the button at the bottom of the map.

 

Radar And Lightning

 

 

Severe Weather Watches Warnings

Explore more Watches and Warnings using the button at the bottom.

Waves

All GOES EAST Satellite ‘Floater’ views

Click here to see all new satellite loops

Tropical Storm DElta Satellite Loops

 

Also See:

Public Advisory

Forecast Advisory

Discussion

Wind Probabilities

 

 

Coastal Inundation Page
This is a link to the NOAA information along the water.
Hurricane Laura Coastal Innundation Page

Related Posts

2020 Tropical Storm and Hurricane Names and Naming History

Tropical Storm Hurricane History

Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days

13_Tropical Storm Formation Sep11_20

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