Tropical Storm Sally In The Gulf of Mexico On A Familiar Path To Landfall Near New Orleans

Saturday September 12 2020

In this extremely active hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin, the 18th storm was named today in the Gulf of Mexico. Tropical Storm Sally is located just west of south Florida and is on a familiar path towards the northern Gulf of Mexico near New Orleans.

The warm water and improving conditions will slow down the speed and allow this to possible become a hurricane before landfall. Hurricane and Storm Surge Watches are already in place. Also, rainfall between 10 to 15 inches near the center are forecast.

Here is a collection of resources for you to track this storm through landfall and beyond. This includes: Satellite views, live radar, interactive widgets, computer model plots, and National Hurricane Center maps, statements, and warnings.

Satellite Images

Visible Loop Up To Sunset

National Hurricane Center Update

SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.0N 82.5W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM W OF NAPLES FLORIDA
ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

Longwave IR- Band 13

Radar and Lightning: South Florida

Computer Model Forecast Plots

Computer Model Forecast Intensity

Forecast is over 80% likely to become a Category 1 hurricane before landfall.

Note the bottom is forecast time.

24 Hrs = Sunday afternoon
48 Hrs = Monday afternoon
72 Hrs = Wednesday afternoon (should be post landfall)

Computer Model Forecast Tracks

The center of the projections is just east of New Orleans. Recent storms have verified farther west than initially thought. So this needs to be considered for a wide region.

After landfall this could get stuck in the south and spin out, or curve up to the northeast. That would be an issue for the end of next week.

Forecast Widgets

Wind, Cloud, and Pressure Levels Projected

This is a forecast view. You can see the future cast using the button at the bottom of the map.

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National Hurricane Center Forecast Maps

Wind Arrival Time

Tropical Sally Forecast Track/Cone and Advisories

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Alabama/Florida Border
* Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Lake Borgne
* Mobile Bay

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas including metropolitan New
Orleans

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Alabama/Florida Border to Ochlockonee River Florida

Peak Storm Surge From National Hurricane Center

If this forecast holds, it is not good news for New Orleans.

Rainfall Forecast

Also See:

Coastal Inundation Page

This is a link to the NOAA information along the water.

Tropical Storm Sally Coastal Innundation

All GOES EAST Satellite ‘Floater’ views

Click to view in a new page

Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days

Atmospheric Memory Of Hurricanes Over Thousands Of Years Shaped The Coast

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