Friday May 15

I just want to remind you that this past weekend we had snow showers and early this week we had frost.  Today we expect temperatures to reach the mid 80s surrounding central Maryland, and there might be a few thunderstorms. The main action will be with the risk for severe storms across Pennsylvania and New York.

Temperatures will cool over the weekend and we will have to watch for more showers. We could also have the first named tropical system of the season between Florida and the Bahamas that will roll up the coast. While not a direct impact, it will feed into another system that likely will bring us a few days of heavy rain and cooler temps next week. More on that below.

Today’s Weather

Severe Storm Risk

May 15 maryland weather severe storm risk Friday


High Temperatures 

As we jump into the 80s, it will also be a bit humid. This will definitely feel like a summer day.

May 15 maryland weather temperatures Friday afternoon


Radar Simulation —> slider

While the main energy will be to the north, heat and humid can help develop scattered storms during the afternoon.

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Also see: Today’s Weather Collection Lab
May 15 maryland weather tropical depression Friday morning
Temperatures Saturday 
Morning: Will feel muggy
May 15 maryland weather temperatures Saturday morning
Afternoon: Still warm, but less heat
May 15 maryland weather temperatures Saturday afternoon
Tropical Development?
Watching the potential for a subtropical storm to develop between Florida and The Bahamas over the weekend. There is now a great than 80% chance this will get named Saturday or Sunday. If it get’s named, it will be Arthur.
May 15 weather tropical storm potential National Hurricane Center
May 15 weather tropical storm potential European Model

Forecast Track and Impact
The modeling now keeps this storm track closer to the coast.  t still is NOT expected to make landfall in the US. It will increase the waves and beach erosion. It will also feed winds into another weather system that is likely to stall over our region next week.
May 15 maryland weather tropical storm Monday
Storm Forecast Animation
Locally the heavier rain will be Tuesday and Wednesday. Rain may linger for the rest of the week. I will explore this system more in my next report.
Temperature Outlook
May 15 maryland weather temperature outlook Friday

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