Wednesday February 19 2020

Rain showers crossing the Eastern Shore this morning are part of the latest cold front. This will bring us two more cold days this week. But the southern end of that front will develop Low Pressure that bring snow to the Carolinas. This is an unusual event after a very unusual winter. But I am still not trusting the modeling. So southern Maryland needs to pay attention for the possible shift north Thursday evening.

Winter is not done yet. The outlook from NOAA brings in a colder start to March.

Wednesday Morning Weather

Morning Temperatures 


Wednesday February 19, 2020 in Baltimore

Average High:  46ºF

Record High: 72ºF in 1997

Average  Low: 27ºF

Record Low:  5ºF in 1903

                      *Record Snow 16.4″ in 1979

Sunrise: 6:5 AM

Sunset 5:47 PM  

*Daylight = 2:26 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 43ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 


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Wednesday Afternoon


Thursday Temperatures 



Thursday Snow

NAM 3 Km Model- This is the most aggressive of the bunch. It brings snow into southern Maryland Thursday evening. I keep showing this, because as I showed (on social media) yesterday, this models was wrong with Tuesday rain. It verified north of the forecast, so there is a track record to anticipate another shift.

Model Snapshots: Comparison at 7 PM Thursday

NAM 3 Km


Canadian GEM


European ECWMF Model


GFS (American) Model


Snow Potential 

I picked the middle or the road model, but note the potential for this to shift north… At this time, that puts Southern Maryland on watch. It would take a lot more error to reach central Maryland, which is less likely.


Temperatures Friday




The mid range shows only two days of cold air followed by a return to the mild winter. However, the longer range does show the expansion of colder air into our region for the start of March.




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  • Thanks to Shannon (weather wife) for hand picking items ‘she’ wants to wear
  • The Yoga Pants have side leg pocket for your phone
  • The Hoodie is extra soft and has the important ‘thumb holes’

FITF Store: Weather Wife


Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall Winter 2019-2020





Snowy Winters Following A Hot and Dry September


NOAA Winter Outlook Leaves Room For More Snow With Mild ‘Seasonal Average’ Temperatures





Other  Links:

See the maps for when we normally expect the first frost in this link.

Baltimore Weather At BWI May Not Be As Hot As Reported

Construction at the airport close to the weather station may be added artificial heat. Click here or the image for the details.



Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones


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