Monday January 13 2020

The warm weekend produced on weather record on Sunday. It was early in the morning when the record high of 70ºF was tied.  It felt like spring through the day but it will not last much longer. A north wind has cooled us a little, but we remain mild and above ‘normal’ most of the week. Winter will return in a few days. I’ve been tracking the modeling for a storm this weekend that has shown consistency bringing in snow and a wintry mix on Saturday. If the model error behaves like our last event (s), then we should end up colder and potentially with more snow than shown now.

Morning Weather

Some showers in the southeast US will reach lower Delmarva and Ocean City. More rain will spread in for the rest of us on Tuesday. Otherwise, it will be cloudy and cooler with a wind from the north.

Morning Temperatures


Monday January 13, 2020 in Baltimore

Average High:  41ºF

Record High: 76ºF in 1932

Average  Low: 24ºF

Record Low:  0ºF in 1981

                      *Record Snow 7.8″ in 1964

Sunrise: 7:25 AM

Sunset 5:04 PM  

*Daylight = 1:18 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 44ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

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Monday Afternoon Temperatures 

Tuesday Rain



Tuesday Temperatures 


Looking Ahead

  • Tuesday: Rain showers
  • Wednesday: The warmest day of the week
  • Friday: Colder temps back to the 30s
  • Saturday: Tracking snow changing to mix and rain


Saturday Snow:

The ECWMF Model has been consistent for a few days showing snow on Saturday. You may recall I have been highlighting model errors with a tendency for systems to shift southeast and arrive sooner. So please do not take this as a lock. I expect some adjustments that could bring in more wintry weather starting as soon as Friday night.


GFS Model

This is the American model that is showing less snow and a faster movement of this event. This is less reliable, but often used to compare and most importantly track adjustments in timing and track. Here we see the same time frame at 1 PM Saturday with snow already changing to a wintry mix.

Storm Animation

I do believe this will change. I am showing this only to display the movement and transition from snow (blue) to wintry mix and rain.  The error and adjustment should shift this to the Southeast and sooner. If this happens and behaves like our prior storm, then we would end up colder and with more snow. Stay tuned.


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Temperature Outlook



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Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall Winter 2019-2020





Snowy Winters Following A Hot and Dry September


NOAA Winter Outlook Leaves Room For More Snow With Mild ‘Seasonal Average’ Temperatures

Other  Links:

See the maps for when we normally expect the first frost in this link.

Baltimore Weather At BWI May Not Be As Hot As Reported

Construction at the airport close to the weather station may be added artificial heat. Click here or the image for the details.



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