Monday January 13 2020
The warm weekend produced on weather record on Sunday. It was early in the morning when the record high of 70ºF was tied. It felt like spring through the day but it will not last much longer. A north wind has cooled us a little, but we remain mild and above ‘normal’ most of the week. Winter will return in a few days. I’ve been tracking the modeling for a storm this weekend that has shown consistency bringing in snow and a wintry mix on Saturday. If the model error behaves like our last event (s), then we should end up colder and potentially with more snow than shown now.
Some showers in the southeast US will reach lower Delmarva and Ocean City. More rain will spread in for the rest of us on Tuesday. Otherwise, it will be cloudy and cooler with a wind from the north.
Monday January 13, 2020 in Baltimore
Average High: 41ºF
Record High: 76ºF in 1932
Average Low: 24ºF
Record Low: 0ºF in 1981
*Record Snow 7.8″ in 1964
Sunrise: 7:25 AM
Sunset 5:04 PM
*Daylight = 1:18 longer than yesterday
*Bay Water Temperature = 44ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House
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Monday Afternoon Temperatures
- Tuesday: Rain showers
- Wednesday: The warmest day of the week
- Friday: Colder temps back to the 30s
- Saturday: Tracking snow changing to mix and rain
The ECWMF Model has been consistent for a few days showing snow on Saturday. You may recall I have been highlighting model errors with a tendency for systems to shift southeast and arrive sooner. So please do not take this as a lock. I expect some adjustments that could bring in more wintry weather starting as soon as Friday night.
This is the American model that is showing less snow and a faster movement of this event. This is less reliable, but often used to compare and most importantly track adjustments in timing and track. Here we see the same time frame at 1 PM Saturday with snow already changing to a wintry mix.
I do believe this will change. I am showing this only to display the movement and transition from snow (blue) to wintry mix and rain. The error and adjustment should shift this to the Southeast and sooner. If this happens and behaves like our prior storm, then we would end up colder and with more snow. Stay tuned.
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WEATHER WIFE COLLECTION
- Thanks to Shannon (weather wife) for hand picking items ‘she’ wants to wear
- The Yoga Pants have side leg pocket for your phone
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Winter Outlook Series:
See the maps for when we normally expect the first frost in this link.
Baltimore Weather At BWI May Not Be As Hot As Reported
Construction at the airport close to the weather station may be added artificial heat. Click here or the image for the details.
Atmospheric Memory Shaped The US East Coast
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