Monday November 4 2019

We start off this work week with many areas in the freeze as we feel the clock change with our scheduled. Soon, it will feel like winter is knocking on the door.  But first, with High Pressure shifting the winds from the south, a breeze will warm us up a little today and tomorrow. Scattered rain showers on Tuesday more likely on the bookends in wetter Maryland and the Lower Eastern Shore. Then each weather system gets progressively colder into next week.

 

Headlines

  • Today: Breezy, Temps Back To Upper 50s
  • Tuesday: Temps near 60ºF, Scattered Showers
  • Storm Thursday Into Friday Brings Snow Nearby
  • Turning Much Colder Through Next Week

 

Morning Temperatures 

 

Local Weather Stats:

Monday November 4, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High:  61ºF

Record High: 83ºF in 1974

Average  Low: 40ºF

Record Low:  22ºF in 1951

Sunrise: 6:37 AM

Sunset 5:02 PM  

*Daylight = 2:12 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 59ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

 

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 Monday Afternoon Temperatures 

 

Tuesday Morning Temperatures 

Tuesday Afternoon Temperatures 

 

Tuesday Showers

The best chance for any rain showers will be in the mountains and on the lower Eastern Shore.

 

Looking Ahead

The end of week storm appears to be following the notes I shared with you. It is trending earlier and farther north. The European ECMWF Model shows that notion bring us rain, with potentially steady snow in far western Maryland and central PA.  The cold air that follows, might bring snow showers to the northern suburbs.

ECWMF Model —> slider

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The GFS Model has a completely different solution. This is the less reliable model, so hard to accept this. Here we see the storm a day later and farther south… But no impact on our region.
Temperature Outlook
A I showed yesterday, the jet stream will be progressing multiple surges of cold air our way.  There could be more chances to get our first flakes in the next 10 days.  The temperatures will be below average.

 

 

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Also See:

NOAA Winter Outlook Leaves Room For More Snow With Mild ‘Seasonal Average’ Temperatures

 

Many areas inland from the cities should drop into the 30s by tomorrow morning. This could do it.

See the maps for when we normally expect the first frost in this link.

 

Snowy Winters Following A Hot and Dry September

 

Baltimore Weather At BWI May Not Be As Hot As Reported

Construction at the airport close to the weather station may be added artificial heat. Click here or the image for the details.

 

 

Other  Links:

 

 

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