Friday October 18 2019

The weather pattern is getting very active and there is no rest for the weary. The strong Nor’easter will be departing but still bringing us a breezy day. As the winds calm with a clear sky, temperatures will cool enough to prompt a Frost Advisory for inland suburbs, and a Freeze Warning farther west in the mountains. The ground may be crispy Saturday morning, but the afternoon will be sunny and mild. Sunday will be wet as a tropical cyclone passes to our south. If it gets named today, it will be called Nestor.

Frost Advisory and Freeze Warning

Headlines

Today: Breezy, but winds less intense
Tonight: Frost Advisory/Freeze Warning
Sunday: Rain From Tropical Cyclone

Local Weather Stats:

Friday October 18, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High: 66ºF

Record High: 84ºF in 2016

Average Low: 44ºF

Record Low: 30ºF in 1982

Sunrise: 7:19 AM

Sunset 6:23 PM

*Daylight = 2:27 shorter than yesterday

*Bay Water Temperature = 66ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

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Temperatures

This Morning

Afternoon Highs

Saturday Morning

Saturday Afternoon

Rainy Sunday

Radar Simulation ECWMF Model —> slider

Light rain around 1/4″ in metro areas, but heavier to the south. Southern Maryland could receive 1 inch close to the center of the Low Pressure.

[metaslider id=80568]

Forecast Rainfall

Rain Animation

Tracking the developing storm form the Gulf Coast to Mid Atlantic. Another rain event will follow on Tuesday

Temperature Outlook

Long Range Outlook: Very Cold By Halloween

I have not discussed the computer model trying to bring snow on Halloween because I didn’t buy it. That early hype happens in many years. But what I do buy is the strong cold force to reach us before the end of the month. The jet stream will send a surge of very cold air our way after next weekend. FITF – soon enough my friend.

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Also See:

NOAA Winter Outlook Leaves Room For More Snow With Mild ‘Seasonal Average’ Temperatures

Moderate Drought For Half of Maryland and Virginia: Drought Monitor

Many areas inland from the cities should drop into the 30s by tomorrow morning. This could do it. See the look at when we normally expect the first frost in this link.