Wednesday September 4 2019

Hurricane Dorian is maintaining its strength with 105 mph winds. As it runs along Florida, it is edging closer to the Carolina coast. The storm continues to spread the winds over a larger area. The latest guidance suggests the eye may clip Charleston, SC and cross eastern North Carolin. This brings stronger rain, higher waves, and rain farther north. I am working on the local wind and wave forecast maps for my next update.

The northern clouds have reached Ocean City and the beaches up to Delaware will see the effects peak on Friday. This is what we expected, but it might be a little more intense for a few hours there Friday.

Hurricane Dorian Visible Satellite Loop

Forecast Track

A Hurricane Warning AND Storm Surge Warning has been expanded to the North Carolina and Virginia border.

A Tropical Storm Watch and Surge Watch is up to Chincotegue, VA. But Ocean City can expect wind gusts to 55 mph and possible tornadoes with outer bands. There maybe an extension of the watches farther north later today.

Headlines:

A cold front brings us showers today and helps to steer Dorian off the NC coast.
Hurricane Dorian is a Cat 2 with 105 mph winds
Hurricane force winds reach 70 miles from the center
Tropical Storm force winds reach 175 miles from the center
Track is close to Charleston, SC, may make landfall in NC
Storm Surge Warning now to NC/VA border.
Impact for Ocean City on Friday: Wind Gusts to 55 mph

Hurricane Dorian IR Satellite

Hurricane Dorian IR Satellite Loop

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* North of Port Canaveral FL to the North Carolina/Virginia border
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
* Neuse and Pamlico Rivers

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* North Carolina/Virginia border to Poquoson VA, including Hampton
Roads

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* North of Savannah River to the North Carolina/Virginia border
* Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Ponte Vedra Beach FL to Savannah River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Volusia/Brevard County FL line to Savannah River

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The North Carolina/Virginia border to Chincoteague VA
* Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point southward

Morning Local Wind And Wave Maps

The slower movement has delayed this until later on Friday.
Hurricane Dorian should move away from North Carolina, but make its closest pass to Ocean City, MD on Friday evening
Winds: Initially it will push from the south, but change to the north as the storm gets closer. This will help lower water out of the Bay, but hammer beaches.
Tropical Storm winds with gusts to 55 mph for Ocean City

Wave Heights Friday Night

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