Thursday April 18 2019

The warm front finally broke through and we will get temperatures to jump close to 80ºF today in central Maryland. Some light showers are around this morning, and there will be some scattered showers around through Friday. But two main stories will be the warm air and more importantly the severe storm risk. The threat of severe weather continues across the Southern US today and will shift to our region tomorrow afternoon and night.

 

 

The active weather will shift our way in the perfect impact storm so to speak. The timing for coincides not only with a Friday afternoon and evening the is normally busy with weekend travelers, but the start of Passover and Easter weekend.  See the closer look below.

 

Local Weather Stats For April 18, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High:  66ºF

Record High: 94ºF in 1896

Average  Low: 44ºF

Record Low:  34ºF in 1875

                         *Record Snow:  = T in 2001

Sunrise: 6:25 AM

Sunset 7:46 PM  

*Daylight = 2:25 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 55ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

 

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Thursday Morning

 

Thursday Afternoon

 

Friday Morning

 

Friday Afternoon

This heat may determine the best chance for severe storms to erupt.

 

Severe Storm Outlook

There has been an expansion of the Marginal Risk area through Southern PA. The rest has remained the same since yesterday. However, as I already mentioned, I would expect there to be a spread of the slight risk to include more to the north. There is some evidence in the modeling to show more of us will be impacted.

 

East Coast Stormy Friday

I do not have a close hourly look at the radar simulation today. I think that might be a disservice since I don’t trust the depiction of severe storm timing and tracking this early. But this wider region look for now is worth showing as this will impact the entire east coast.  See the rain animation below. If you are flying this Friday, this may lead to widespread delays.

 

Forecast Animation

Thursday afternoon through Saturday afternoon.

 

Weekend Rain?

The best suggestion we can see here is this:

  • Friday afternoon/Night: Storms
  • Saturday Morning: Storms move off of the coast
  • Saturday Afternoon: Dry air returns
  • Easter Sunday: Dry start, rain returns in the afternoon and evening.

 

Temperature Outlook 

 

 

 

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