Friday March 1 2019

Today is the start of Meteorological Spring, but we are far from done with winter. This latest snow event brought an average of 2 inches to most places in our region. But the range is between 1 to 3 inches. How much did you get? Traffic this morning depends on what roads were treated, and the final burst of snow crossing Rt 50 and to the Eastern Shore.  But most schools have been delayed and it will take some daylight and slow warming to help thaw the rest pavement.

There is more on the way!  Some rain showers will linger south, but another push of winter weather will arrive this evening. The concern is mainly for there colder suburbs to the north through tonight.  Then we shift our focus to another storm Sunday into Monday morning. Oh, but wait. There long range has yet another event possible next weekend.

Morning Radar Loop


Morning Temperatures

See the slow warming in the timeline below


Local Weather Stats For March 1, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High:  49ºF

Record High: 80ºF in 1972

Average  Low: 29ºF

Record Low:  11ºF in 1980

                         *Record Snow:  = 6.0″ in 1952

Sunrise: 6:39 AM

Sunset 5:58 PM 

*Daylight = 2:32 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 39ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 


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Slow Warming/Thawing

Temperature Timeline —> slider

[metaslider id=74147]


More Snow Tonight (Northern Suburbs into PA)

The HRRR Model brings it back after 7 PM


NAM  Km Model Snow Timeline —> slider

[metaslider id=74162]



More Snow Sunday?

This next storm will follow a similar path, and be a little stronger.  This is not a lock by any means… So we need to track this closely.

Please consider these notes then see the animations and two model snapshots below

  • The rain/snow line will cut through our region. This is the hard part as to who will be affected.
  • The European Model keeps the normally colder suburbs in the snow, but rain elsewhere.
  • The American GFS Model shows snow for more of central Maryland
  • Both show the freezing line north, so it may be a slushy snow with temps above freezing.
  • Monday morning should turn colder, so it is possible to be wet then some freezing before schools open



American GFS shows more snow



European Model shows the snow line farther north


Let’s get through this morning’s clean up and I will have a better look at the return snow for tonight and this storm in my next report.


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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore


Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?


Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History