Thursday February 28 2019

It will snow in our area Friday morning. That seems like a pretty good lock right now. The good thing about this event is that the timing will be mostly between 3 and 8 AM, so it will begin and do its thing early enough for schools to make their decision if there is an impact. The other good thing is that it will be done early, so by late morning and noon travel should not be a problem.

Temperatures will be cold enough for stickage. In fact most of the model runs overnight have shown an increase in how much will fall, so a better chance for an impact on area schools. There is one model that is a little warmer, cutting the snow line through Baltimore and north, but that is the exception. See more below.

Morning Weather Map

Two systems that look minor now, will be joining forced and pulse right over our area just before sunrise Friday. March is coming in like a Lion. Wait until you see the cool down next week.

Local Weather Stats For February 28, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High: 48ºF

Record High: 76ºF in 1976

Average Low: 29ºF

Record Low: 5ºF in 1934

*Record Snow: = 5.2″ in 1949

Sunrise: 6:40 AM

Sunset 5:57 PM

*Daylight = 2:31 longer than yesterday

*Bay Water Temperature = 39ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

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New Partner

Buchanan Kia of Westminster is a supporter of Just In Power Kids and Maryland Trek 6 in August 2019.

Morning Temperatures

Afternoon High Temperatures

Sky: Mostly Sunny
Wind: Light

Friday Morning Snow

This will be roughly a 5 hour event with the bulk of snow before sunrise.

Snow Timeline

This is the warmest solution, but also the outlier

I wanted to show this first, then compare to the more likely snow set up below.

NAM 3 Km —> slider

[metaslider id=74026]

How Much Snow? The lowest potential

This shows 1 to 3 inches along I-70 and northward. But not much south of Baltimore.

European Model

This snapshot around sunrise shows a wider range of moderate snow. This also shows the freezing farther south… line through Washington DC

Morning Temperatures: Cold Enough For Stickage

How Much Snow? This Is Where The Totals Look Higher And More Widespread

The European brings much of metro Baltimore and southern PA 2 to 3 inches.

Washington and Annapolis around 2 inches

The GFS brings much of metro Baltimore and southern PA 2 to 4 inches. This includes Washington and Annapolis.

The Canadian Model was way to high in the prior run. It is still on the higher side, but more in line now.

My Call For Snowfall:

I will post my map in my next post this morning.

Weekend Weather

The next system may be a little colder as well. There is agreement that Sunday will bring a mix of rain and snow, with snow trying to hang on for the colder inland suburbs. It will be done before Monday, but might have some lingering effects if there is stickage. This will also be followed by a surge of much colder air next week.

Temperature Outlook

There will be a surge of much colder air next week.