Friday February 22 2019

Temperatures this morning are mild as we are on the edge of the next weather system. Rain is falling in southern Maryland. While it will stay south today, it will move in to our area on Saturday. This will develop during the afternoon and spread across our entire region Saturday night and into Sunday.

This storm will bring us up to 1 inch of rain, which on top snow melt and soggy ground will make from some flooding. It will also warm us into the 60s on Sunday. But that comes with the price tag of strong winds…which could reach the 50 to 60 mph range.


Morning Temps

Many waking up with temps in the 40s.  Rain is falling south of Washington through southern Maryland and Virginia.


Local Weather Stats For February 22, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High:  47ºF

Record High: 74ºF in 1874

Average  Low: 28ºF

Record Low:  7ºF in 1963

                         *Record Snow:  4.0″ in 1987

Sunrise: 6:49 AM

Sunset 5:50 PM 

*Daylight = 2:28 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 38ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 


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Weekend Storm

  • Rain will try to develop during the afternoon. We should have it cover most or all of our region by evening.
  • High Winds: The tightly packed isobars (black lines) indicate this following the storm. We will get the first surge Sunday morning, but high winds last into Monday.


Rain Timeline —> slider

ECMWF Model showing the accumulated rainfall each 6 hours

[metaslider id=73804]



Total Rainfall

  • Most of the areas will get up to 1 inch of rain.
  • Flooding possible with additional snow melt on very soggy ground.


High Winds Sunday Morning Through Monday

The NAM 3 Km Model shows the strong winds in central Maryland, but the Watch map below has not caught up yet.


High Wind Watch

  • This has been issued by NWS State College and Pittsburgh.
  • The NWS Office in Sterling VA has not issued one yet for central Maryland, but I expect they are considering it.


Temperature Outlook



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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore


Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?


Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History