Tuesday February 12 2019
This is a legitimate ice storm. The results of the cold air and freezing rain have coated much of the region in a thick layer of ice. This is too much for the trees, and may have been falling down. Heavy rain on top of the ice even after some warming still can add weight. Numerous reports of trees continuing to fall is why the warnings continue until this evening. The two photos here are from Damascus and Catonsville, but many more areas look like this.
Ice Storm Photo Above From: Laura Vaughn
Ice Storm Photo Below From: Niki Fiffe
Not Even Close To Done Yet
What I am about to tell you is what I told my wife, and her response was:
Really??? UGH!!!
This is what we still have over the next week.
- Until This Evening: Winter Storm Warning for remaining ice
- Tonight: Heavy rain until midnight. There might be some thunder AND possible flooding. Especially in places with snow and ice covering storm drains.
- Wednesday Morning: Places with ice may refreeze
- Saturday: More snow region wide
- Sunday: Chance of additional snow (not guaranteed)
- Larger Storm Next Week: Tuesday night into Wednesday (as lit looks now) could bring a wider snow then ice storm
Power Outages
Many areas are without power and still under a warning. But there may also be a refreeze before tomorrow morning.
Keep In Touch Every Day
Just in case you don’t get all posts on your social media feed, stay up to date with the latest info…
Click here to sign up for email alerts…. Be the first to hear any new weather.
Winter Storm Warning
The remaining Winter Weather Advisory (blue) in /Howard and Montgomery Counties expires at 4 PM; Cecil and Kent Counties expires t 6 PM.
The Storm Warning in Maryland is until 7 PM. While temperatures are warming above freezing, there is a lot of ice that has yet to melt or fall from trees and power lines.
Rain Timeline —> slider
Heavy rain 8 PM to Midnight. There may be some thunder and areas of flooding at this time.
[metaslider id=73166]
Refreeze?
Well, the rain will end between midnight and 2 AM, but the ground will remain soggy. These are the temperatures forecast for midnight and sunrise Wednesday. Places that had ice problems, there is a good chance there will be some refreezing by morning. Schools in these areas may need to check on the roads for any need for delays.
ALL FITF Apparel is 20% through tonight
Use promo code: SNOWDAY20
Looking Ahead For Two More Storms
I am a firm believe that we need to get through the current event as see how it behaves before looking to the next one. But it is worth noting that there is more action in the pipeline. The Euro Model has done a good job with this event, so there is more confidence in what may come next: Saturday and next Tuesday.
But here is the animation first on the GFS Model. Note, this brings snow Saturday, but not much Sunday. There are other models that enhance round 2. Then a second separate storm arrives with snow and more ice.
Weekend Event:
European Model
At this point it looks like the bulk will pass on the southern part of our area. If the typical shift north applies, that keeps us in the bulls eye.
Next Week Event:
Tuesday Night into Wednesday
European Model
The next system looks like a classic icing event. Again, this one is a week away, so there will be some wiggle room with the timing and track But snow mixing with ice is the way it looks for now.
Temperature Outlook
As we just saw, a wintry event can hit hard event when the outlook showed temps above freezing for afternoon highs. It looks like the trend will be in the 30s/below average next week.
Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media
-
Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist
-
Twitter: @JustinWeather
-
Instagram: justinweather
New Colors
We are giving 10% of each sale to Just In Power Kids: Providing FREE holistic care for pediatric oncology patients.
New Partner
Buchanan Kia of Westminster is a supporter of Just In Power Kids and Maryland Trek 6 in August 2019.
Related Links:
Winter Outlook
My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow
Interactive Snow Report
November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast
Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years
Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore
Related Winter Outlooks
Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow
El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances
Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow
Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?
NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow
Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs