Friday January 25 2019

This morning temperatures have dropped back close to freezing and there is one more push of cold air. This cold front will increase the winds this afternoon. Ahead of it, some flurries might survive the trip over the mountains. Just for ambiance. Otherwise we aim for quiet weather this weekend. Next week, that’s when we have some action.

Last night I posted about the epic cold. Since then some models have made a slight adjustment, which includes generating snow along that arctic boundary. This may be enough to accumulate and shift the core of the coldest air a little north. Don’t worry, it will still be very cold next week!

Morning Weather Map


Local Weather Stats For January 25, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High:  42ºF

Record High: 75ºF in 1967

Average  Low: 24ºF

Record Low:  0ºF in 1987

                         *Record Snow:  14.9* in 2000

Sunrise: 7:19 AM

Sunset 5:18 PM 

*Daylight = 1:51 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 38ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 



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Morning Set Up

Baltimore at 6 AM

  • Temperature = 33ºF
  • Wind Gusts: W 12
  • Wind Chill = 24ºF




It will be chilly and breezy. We might have some flurries, but nothing widespread or concerning to travel in metro areas.




Expect quite weather locally; Snow showers in the mountains. Saturday in the mid to upper 30s. Sunday in the mid to upper 40s.


Arctic Front/Snow?

Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning. At this point it looks like rain to snow with the arctic air moving in. This timing at night and transition could make for minor accumulation and icing. Since the arctic air arriving will be potent, the modeling is still trying hard to handle this and will likely have some more adjustments. Just plan for the big changes between Wednesday and Thursday.

Two Models Agree: Compare the GFS and European Models below.



European Model Snow —> slider

[metaslider id=71845]


Temperature Outlook


Jet Stream Animation

Watch the center of the screen here and see the blue circle. That is the Polar Vortex around the North Pole. There is one drop south, then it redevelops and the second push dives from the Arctic starting Sunday January 27. This reaches Minnesota, Wisconsin, and northern Michigan Tuesday and Wednesday. The core will pass to our north but bring us our coldest air next Wednesday and Thursday.



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FITF and SnowStix 


Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore


Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?


Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History