Sunday December 16 2018

A new Flood Warning has been issued until 3:15 PM due to high stream gauges and additional rain. Up to an addition 1 inch has fallen today and these bands looks more intense that expected.  This has been on overachieving event and the recent radar shows the heaviest rain just east of this warning area… So it may be expanded. The warning now includes Ellicott City and there may be heightened anxiety there since the summer flood. But the heavier rain appears to be just to their east over Baltimore and into AACo. See the radar loop below.

Flood Statement

* At 1211 PM EST, stream gauges indicated minor flooding across the
area. The Howard County 911 Center also reported two roads closed
due to high water. Water levels will continue to recede this
afternoon since the heaviest rainfall has ended.

* Some locations that may experience flooding include…
Columbia, Elkridge, Ellicott City, Catonsville, Laurel, Arbutus,
Savage-guilford, Scaggsville, Ilchester, Linthicum, Lansdowne,
Jessup, Savage, Fulton, Highland, Clarksville, West Friendship,
Dayton, Roxbury Mills and Glenelg.


Estimated Rain 

Over 1.5″ around Baltimore with an area over 3″ west and north of Washington across Montgomery and western Howard Counties in Maryland.

Doppler Radar Loops

The heaviest rain was falling just east of the warning area… Yellow and orange shading appears to be circulation across metro Baltimore and I-95 dropping into Anne Arundel County.


Regional Radar

Watch the rain expand and wrap around the upper level Low that is passing through Southern Maryland…

Jet Stream

Here is the upper level Low that we were tracking today. This was expected to increase the rain but it definitely over achieved.


Wintry Mix?

The High Resolution Modeling supports color air aloft to mix in some snow or sleet across the higher terrain north of Baltimore. This are likely across the line into southern PA. Ground temps short remain above freezing during the time, but some ‘stuff’ might mix down.  Tonight is when we need to watch the falling temps with the wet ground….



Monday Morning Low Temperatures

Snow Day Kit

Our ritual the night before a storm is finally in one kit. Maybe if more Maryland kids had this, the storm would reach us 🙂

  • This includes a very soft raglan Tee printed inside out with #FITF AND the check list,  #FITF spoon for under your pillow, ice cube tray with snowflake shapes, chalk, a #FITF wrist-band, a mini SnowStix, and a bag to carry it all in.
  • Order by December 14 and it should arrive for the holiday.
  • This will also help us give a free Snow Day Kit to each of the Just In Power Kids.



FITF and SnowStix Stores are now OPEN


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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore


Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?


Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History 




Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

We are giving 10% of each sale to Just In Power Kids: Providing FREE holistic care for pediatric oncology patients.